Nate silver is rage tweeting right now because people are calling

[BlueStreak]

19. His defensiveness maybe because his model never anticipated what is happening:

1) Enormous amount of early voting, much of which implies GOP crossover to Hillary.

2) Sheer volume of polls, many of which are sketchy at best.

3) Polls that might have been well done in the past seem to have declined in validity, yet 538 rewards past performance.

4) Exacerbation of traditional polling errors (not getting mobile numbers) plus a huge factor in polls underestimating first-time Latino vote.

I think he had a good idea in the original model -- with the key principle being to weight new polls based on the quality of that pollster in the past. It is entirely possible that for the above reasons, Silver's old model no longer tells us very much more than the simple RCP average of polls. Silver is committed to (locked to) his old method, and is current feistiness may be a fear that his vaunted reputation may be about to take a major dive.