2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Post your bold predictions for 2014! [View all]karynnj
(61,264 posts)Having barely kept the Senate, we face 2016 -- when the Senators elected in the 2010 wave election are up. Just as the last two elections favored the Republicans because of our excellent results in 2006 and 2008, it will be the Democrats defending fewer states and having some seats that should be easier to win. (The miracle is that they went too extreme and in the last 2 elections lost 5 or 6 seats that were theirs for the taking. Had this not happened, we would be facing 2014 with a near surety of losing control of the Senate or having lost it last fall.)
Remember, whether Reid used the nuclear option or not - the Republicans did not need the precedent to do so.
I wonder if the real new battleground for health care will not be in the states. For instance, how will neighboring states respond if VT really enacts its version of single payer, assuming it works as well as it has in other countries - saving money, and all the stress of dealing with insurers. Hard to imagine it not spreading to Massachusetts and a few other states.
It may be ironic that the forces that made the system state based, might lead to the states as laboratories with real results showing what works better.