2016 Postmortem

Always Randy

(1,085 posts)

36. Wow ---what a site

Reply to tgards79 (Reply #33)

Thu Aug 7, 2014, 07:15 PM

Aug 2014

I am checking it out

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Is Nate Silver Fudging the poll? Maybe the Democrats are ahead? [View all] Always Randy Aug 2014 OP

I think that's maybe wishful thinking? TDale313 Aug 2014 #1

you are right TDale313 abot the 2016---- Always Randy Aug 2014 #6

Yep, GOTV! n/t TDale313 Aug 2014 #8

you say they've invested heavily in his brand and then figure he'd fudge numbers? unblock Aug 2014 #2

thank you unblock-----I try to see who the advertisers are on these blogs Always Randy Aug 2014 #20

haha! well i just got my aarp card so i've joined that club, too! unblock Aug 2014 #21

I have to say that if we are on DU---we are relevant Always Randy Aug 2014 #26

I doubt he's fudging the numbers. BillZBubb Aug 2014 #3

This --> "it is still early and most voters aren't yet engaged" winter is coming Aug 2014 #5

casual voters only show up every four years pstokely Aug 2014 #16

Unlikely, in my opinion. n/t winter is coming Aug 2014 #4

Please understand I am not judging his integrity ---just his tenacity to survive Always Randy Aug 2014 #7

He survives by being right. nt hack89 Aug 2014 #11

Silver is to be taken seriously Gman Aug 2014 #9

Nate doesn't poll, he uses aggregates of other polls. Arkana Aug 2014 #10

This is his second midterm cycle ever. 2010 he missed the call in both Houses. Bluenorthwest Aug 2014 #23

Not really FBaggins Aug 2014 #29

I think he uses the poll numbers of others Always Randy Aug 2014 #31

Understand that we are very far off from the election. That's an eternity away in politics. Liberal_Stalwart71 Aug 2014 #12

Why would he.. sendero Aug 2014 #13

Agree or not agree with all of this post, I agree that we should be skeptical of Nate in Todays_Illusion Aug 2014 #14

the polls right now are fudged pstokely Aug 2014 #15

So Many republican Pollssters These Days Stallion Aug 2014 #18

Any numbers that I don't like are certainly fudged, JayhawkSD Aug 2014 #17

The reason Dems are behind is where those seats are located BainsBane Aug 2014 #19

His senate results suck though. lancer78 Aug 2014 #28

thank you lancer 78--please tell me more Always Randy Aug 2014 #35

Nate's reputation is based on a very short resume in political predictions, two Presidential cycles Bluenorthwest Aug 2014 #22

I think you are spot on on this Always Randy Aug 2014 #24

Short resume & Nate's a polling guru misterhighwasted Aug 2014 #25

It is of course possible rock Aug 2014 #27

I don't think it is structurally wrong Always Randy Aug 2014 #37

No Garthem Aug 2014 #30

Thanks for the reply----i am with you on this---but my business side sasy he might do this Always Randy Aug 2014 #32

I have the Dems ahead... tgards79 Aug 2014 #33

Wow ---what a site Always Randy Aug 2014 #36

We can retain control of Senate (with Biden as tie breaker) if... WI_DEM Aug 2014 #34

my intuitive feelings are similar to how I felt in the 2012 Always Randy Aug 2014 #38

I thought it was 80%. but to me the most important thing to think about okieinpain Aug 2014 #39

you are right Always Randy Aug 2014 #42

When Republicans were behind according to Nate in 2012 we mocked them for not believing the numbers. TeamPooka Aug 2014 #40

If Nate has a bias, it's likely in democrats favor, he used to blog at Daily Kos ShadowLiberal Aug 2014 #41

my thought here was that he was fudging ONLY for his interest Always Randy Aug 2014 #43

The problem with that is that he doesn't produce the numbers. FBaggins Aug 2014 #44

LOL. we are beginning to sound like ari fleisher who swore up and down that Romney was leading in La Lioness Priyanka Aug 2014 #45

Are you trying to "unskew" those polls for us? nt tblue37 Aug 2014 #46

No. n/t Orangepeel Aug 2014 #47