2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: You Choose... Sanders or the Presidency [View all]JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)In fact, I would wager that it is far less likely that Hillary can win in 2016. Sanders is an exciting candidate. Hillary simply is not.
Who wins depends so much on which candidate people really like.
As we see, people take to Bernie.
Hillary seems rather cold. She tries hard, and I'm sure she is a good person. That's why people who know her well like her.
But Hillary does not have the kind of drive that Americans are looking for at this point. Bernie does. Bernie is passionately for the American people. That's what I think will win in 2016.
We disagree on this. But the assumption in your OP is not one that can be supported by the facts. In particular, the TPP is more unpopular and will be even more unpopular, and Hillary is going to find her role in the State Department during the early stages of the preparation of the TPP and the reports that her State Department issued on the XL Pipeline and so many, many other issues such as her vote for the Iraq War Resolution put her on the wrong side of the majority of Americans in 2016.
The assumption is wrong. At the very least there is a lot of legitimate doubt as to whether Hillary could win enough cross-over and independent votes to win the election. And then there is the big, big problem with her getting Democrats excited enough to vote. I doubt that she can.