2016 Postmortem

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)

27. There have been previous polls in these states...

Wed Jul 22, 2015, 11:50 AM

Jul 2015

Which have favored Clinton. The swing is fairly big, so I suspect an aberration, but it's possible HRC lost a lot of support. WE need more data to say anything meaningful IMO.

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This message was self-deleted by its author [View all] Corruption Inc Jul 2015 OP

But, but, but, she's our BESTEST chance......Evah! Wilms Jul 2015 #1

She still is...did you look at the Head to Heads with Bernie in the same poll? brooklynite Jul 2015 #58

did you? Warren Stupidity Jul 2015 #82

Bestest chance for the repugs!! pocoloco Jul 2015 #71

No question, we are doing it to ourselves unless we get behind one candidate and push the positives. kelliekat44 Jul 2015 #75

But but but right now polls mean NOTHING. RBInMaine Jul 2015 #116

I wonder why this set of polls is significantly different than pretty much every other previous poll LonePirate Jul 2015 #2

it's unfavorables, not who would vote for her OKNancy Jul 2015 #8

Read the entire article. She is trailing in the horse race question. AFAIK, she has never trailed... LonePirate Jul 2015 #11

she is correct that this poll is an aberation karynnj Jul 2015 #65

Execellent Points! However Chasstev365 Jul 2015 #46

I do honestly believe most American's want Hillary, they don't want the GOP lewebley3 Jul 2015 #52

AFAIK, Previous polls did not break out these "swing states". jeff47 Jul 2015 #20

There have been previous polls in these states... Adrahil Jul 2015 #27

It appears pretty anomalous.... Adrahil Jul 2015 #28

Hillary needs fight one battle at a time: Get nomination first: They the GOP lewebley3 Jul 2015 #69

On interesting thing to note is that Biden is doing just about as well as Clinton.... George II Jul 2015 #70

I don't see a breakdown of the totals... BklnDem75 Jul 2015 #80

Shrug. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jul 2015 #3

If someone else wins the nomination we'll have a lot more to worry about. George II Jul 2015 #68

That is highly speculative pscot Jul 2015 #72

Yes because he is a socialist jew. zeemike Jul 2015 #77

Like what to wear to Sanders' inauguration event. n/t Scootaloo Jul 2015 #78

and which type of beer restorefreedom Jul 2015 #98

"CNN Trails All TV News in Trust, Except Fox." Which happens to be true. Report on that, CNN, if Fred Sanders Jul 2015 #4

Also based on this poll, it indicates that no Democratic candidate would win in those states, so still_one Jul 2015 #30

Well, look at the "don't recognize" column. around 9% for HRC, 40% BS. Just wait..... Elmer S. E. Dump Jul 2015 #93

Anyone in that poll choosing any of the republicans is not going to vote for any Democrat. I need still_one Jul 2015 #106

The poll can be found here..... n8dogg83 Jul 2015 #5

By this particular poll no Democratic candidate would win in those states still_one Jul 2015 #13

Quinnipiac is very unreliable: JaneyVee Jul 2015 #15

538 disagrees Capt. Obvious Jul 2015 #22

Well 538 DOES show a Republican lean from this pollster... Adrahil Jul 2015 #26

Yes of course Capt. Obvious Jul 2015 #45

Yeah, they do. Adrahil Jul 2015 #48

But most of the matchups he does worse. And Sanders' negatives are high for having so little name stevenleser Jul 2015 #18

not surprising Sanders polls well in Colorado 6chars Jul 2015 #85

Still not too late to switch from the inevitable leveymg Jul 2015 #6

And among folks who know him, Sanders has very high unfavorables. nt stevenleser Jul 2015 #19

You keep saying this, but... I really don't think it's true. kenn3d Jul 2015 #118

Look at the poll.... Sanders does no better. Adrahil Jul 2015 #29

Smear Works SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #7

Smear means devoid of basis in fact or simple lies. The scandals you reference may not be what Fox leveymg Jul 2015 #12

+1. nt candelista Jul 2015 #16

I'm new here. SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #25

I'll show you an example of a smear leveymg Jul 2015 #39

Well done, as an "anatomy of a smear". SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #94

I see you're familiar with the Karl Rove playbook, much of which was really penned by Lee Atwater. leveymg Jul 2015 #97

History is important. SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #102

"nt" means "no text, just a headline." candelista Jul 2015 #42

Thanks for the guide. And the support. SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #95

Reasonable versus realistic. SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #21

Hey, Rogue, welcome to DU! BillZBubb Jul 2015 #37

Thanks... SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #84

"Reasonableness plays into the hands of smear merchants." candelista Jul 2015 #44

My point is, it's not reasonable ... SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #88

Hillary ' s problems with Democrats ibegurpard Jul 2015 #73

Those are valid concerns, but ... SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #91

Yes you're right people on both the right and left ibegurpard Jul 2015 #107

In a perfect world. SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #113

I don't think she can win Florida. HooptieWagon Jul 2015 #9

Optimism. SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #23

The Fl Dem Party does nothing to inspire optimism or confidence. HooptieWagon Jul 2015 #31

The lesser of two evils is still evil. BillZBubb Jul 2015 #41

Like, vote for W because he's not as bad as Pat Buchanon? HooptieWagon Jul 2015 #56

Giving up is not an option. SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #99

I've compromised for over 20 years. HooptieWagon Jul 2015 #101

It's frustrating, I know. SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #114

I hear you. SanAntoneRogue Jul 2015 #96

progressives will sit on their hands angel123 Jul 2015 #32

We've had 20 years of those threats. HooptieWagon Jul 2015 #36

Um, Progressives are activists and they don't sit on their hands. Le Taz Hot Jul 2015 #103

OUCH! But, but, but, John Poet Jul 2015 #10

Based on this poll, there is NO Democratic candidate who would win, assuming the poll is not an still_one Jul 2015 #14

I agree Proud Liberal Dem Jul 2015 #89

I would like to see other pols around the same time also still_one Jul 2015 #105

How dare you!!! 99Forever Jul 2015 #17

2004 all over again ibegurpard Jul 2015 #24

This message was self-deleted by its author SidDithers Jul 2015 #33

Paging Warren ram2008 Jul 2015 #34

A dreary set of figures no matter how you look at it BeyondGeography Jul 2015 #35

I think this poll shows why we need to start the debates soon and have more of them.... n8dogg83 Jul 2015 #38

problem is losing isn't a big problem for the Beltway types and party honchos: MisterP Jul 2015 #74

not gonna happen restorefreedom Jul 2015 #100

The relentless RW media bashing is having an impact. DCBob Jul 2015 #40

It's the money. Fearless Jul 2015 #43

if she were smart DonCoquixote Jul 2015 #47

These BULLSHIT!!! polls don't mean shit this far out in the race bigdarryl Jul 2015 #49

unless they show Hillary ahead by 50 points ibegurpard Jul 2015 #54

LOL, exactly! HooptieWagon Jul 2015 #57

Of course they don't... brooklynite Jul 2015 #59

Keep whistling ibegurpard Jul 2015 #63

I see -- and Sanders is Howard Dean v. 2 brooklynite Jul 2015 #64

if you're right we're screwed ibegurpard Jul 2015 #66

I don't believe in ANY fucking polls the only thing I go by is this formula bigdarryl Jul 2015 #62

How does Bernie do against the same Republicans? Lil Missy Jul 2015 #50

about the same. Warren Stupidity Jul 2015 #83

It's pretty clear that lots of Democrats don't trust her either. nt Zorra Jul 2015 #51

Outlier poll. No other poll says anything like that. onehandle Jul 2015 #53

Nice try to do what? It's a reputable poll and it may be an outlier, but totodeinhere Jul 2015 #115

...The results offered more indications that Clinton has a problem: Voters say they don't trust her SoapBox Jul 2015 #55

unelectable fbc Jul 2015 #60

Clinton's problem is that those numbers only get worse the more she speaks fbc Jul 2015 #61

This is just three states, two of which... George II Jul 2015 #67

Ouch. blackspade Jul 2015 #76

What tickles me... Scootaloo Jul 2015 #79

This message was self-deleted by its author Corruption Inc Jul 2015 #92

Polls have to be taken in the aggregate. Adrahil Jul 2015 #108

Oh, it's just the sudden sea change Scootaloo Jul 2015 #111

Most people.. even people I agree with... Adrahil Jul 2015 #112

Bad poll for Hillary taught_me_patience Jul 2015 #81

24 hours later...numbers shored up brooklynite Jul 2015 #117

That has GOT to be an outlier Proud Liberal Dem Jul 2015 #86

I strongly suspect it is. It'll be interesting to see... Adrahil Jul 2015 #109

I can't blame people for saying they don't trust her Victor_c3 Jul 2015 #87

If they think that they can trust Walker, Bush, or Rubio more Proud Liberal Dem Jul 2015 #90

Obama at 45% is going to make any democratic nominee BlueStateLib Jul 2015 #104

Why? Proud Liberal Dem Jul 2015 #110