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2016 Postmortem

Rosanna Lopez

(308 posts)

19. No one knows how North Carolina will vote

Reply to Rosanna Lopez (Original post)

Fri Jun 29, 2012, 08:06 PM

Jun 2012

That's the bottom line. The people predicting Romney will win don't know, and the people predicting Obama will win don't know.

The state is close and it go either way. Just like in 2008, we may not know until election night. It won't be a shock either way.

What's MOST significant though is that remember until 2008, this state wasn't even winnable for the Democrats for decades. The brilliance of Howard Dean's 50-state strategy and Obama's team in 2008 is paying dividends. Both Virginia and North Carolina are competitive again for a 2nd election in a row. 2 states the Republicans used to take for granted they now have to work hard in.

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NBC News/Marist poll: Obama +2 in North Carolina, +4 in Michigan, and Tied in New Hampshire [View all] Rosanna Lopez Jun 2012 OP

What is wrong with new Hampshire? liberal N proud Jun 2012 #1

What's wrong in Michigan? Rosanna Lopez Jun 2012 #2

I'm waiting for the debates Proud Liberal Dem Jun 2012 #3

expect Romney to have a short lived lead once he gets all the attention of choosing WI_DEM Jun 2012 #12

I think the poolls are skewed notadmblnd Jun 2012 #4

I want to know the sampling numbers and NBC INdemo Jun 2012 #5

I love how every poll that doesn't have Obama by a landslide is 'skewed' WI_DEM Jun 2012 #13

I live in Michigan, Oakland County to be precise notadmblnd Jun 2012 #15

With any of the polls that show Romney tied or in the lead, I ask the question liberal N proud Jun 2012 #9

the old people here confuse him with his father Motown_Johnny Jun 2012 #20

Obama will win michigan by 8-10 points scheming daemons Jun 2012 #6

That means he is down from 2008 Rosanna Lopez Jun 2012 #7

Yes, but he is going to be down from 2008. WI_DEM Jun 2012 #14

I agree, he will win by a large margin. notadmblnd Jun 2012 #16

Well Robbins Jun 2012 #8

I know it's too early for me when I keep seeing "Marxist" polls Blue_Tires Jun 2012 #10

Well it's good to see an independent poll showing Obama leading in Michigan! WI_DEM Jun 2012 #11

I've been saying Obama will win NC again. I live here and I feel like I understand the people here. musicblind Jun 2012 #17

I live here, too, and I'm not convinced Obama will take NC again. mnhtnbb Jun 2012 #18

No one knows how North Carolina will vote Rosanna Lopez Jun 2012 #19