2016 Postmortem

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)

62. You ought to re-read “The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over” - Enten's analysis has changed.

Tue Sep 1, 2015, 07:32 PM

Sep 2015

"In just a few months, the Vermont senator halved Hillary Clinton’s lead in Iowa and moved to within shouting distance of her in New Hampshire. But it’s probably time to change the verb tense. No longer is Sanders surging. He has surged. ... Sanders is maxing out on gains simply because of increased name recognition."

After predicting that Sanders rise was over in New Hampshire and Iowa, Enten is now admitting that Sanders' surge is actually increasing in pace:

"First, let’s talk a bit more about his recent gains in the polls, starting in New Hampshire. In the original article, I wrote that “Sanders rose from June to July in the Granite State, but his ascent slowed.” But Sanders picked up the pace in August, and support for Hillary Clinton has slowly dropped, according to live-interview polls."

Enten's admission of his error has conceded that Sanders (44%) has now passed Clinton (37%) in New Hampshire (which is not what happens after a "Surge Appears To Be Over” as Enten predicted). Enten also acknowledged that the "top-notch" Des Moines Register poll "found Clinton leading Sanders by just 7 percentage points," which is also contrary to Ebten's earlier prediction.

If Enten can admit that his original analysis was wrong, why is that so hard for you to admit?

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538's Harry Enten: "We Got Berned" [View all] Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 OP

weasel words, harry. cali Aug 2015 #1

"herp derp" AtomicKitten Aug 2015 #2

Ah, he's still covering his ass. Le Taz Hot Aug 2015 #3

Why dont they? VanillaRhapsody Aug 2015 #5

lol. most people don't know who the vice president is, 'nilla cali Aug 2015 #7

maybe because druidity33 Aug 2015 #8

Maybe its because VanillaRhapsody Aug 2015 #9

I work with people who happily take advantage of FMLA... SMC22307 Sep 2015 #27

Annnnnnnnndddddd this means what? VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #32

And how long will you last this time? A day? morningfog Aug 2015 #17

Ok so is this a thing, or what? Bobbie Jo Aug 2015 #22

Are you monitoring me? morningfog Aug 2015 #23

Just reading the thread Bobbie Jo Aug 2015 #24

Looks like either a betting pool or a drinking game. Scootaloo Sep 2015 #30

Oh! You're live. Fawke Em Sep 2015 #25

Annnnnndddddd his successful VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #33

I'd rather stop trying than to send hundreds Fawke Em Sep 2015 #36

thats It? VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #37

Protip: Your candidate loves to kill Muslims. Fawke Em Sep 2015 #40

Evidently then VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #51

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaandd here's your answer... Cry Sep 2015 #59

That HE proposed...or just agreed with? VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #64

Message auto-removed Name removed Sep 2015 #65

No the discussion is VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #66

except that isn't true dsc Aug 2015 #10

Really? Le Taz Hot Aug 2015 #11

I provided the link in another thread dsc Aug 2015 #12

Well, then I stand corrected. Le Taz Hot Aug 2015 #13

you are wrong about that too dsc Sep 2015 #44

Sanders has room to grow. Clinton only has room to shrink. Scootaloo Sep 2015 #31

Good luck VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #34

Thank you for the next bar to overcome. Fawke Em Sep 2015 #39

she has about 97% of thier support VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #41

"Their" Fawke Em Sep 2015 #42

she lived in AK for decades dsc Sep 2015 #45

Could she see Sarah Palin? or did you mean AR bigbrother05 Sep 2015 #52

And I'm half VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #50

half what? Cry Sep 2015 #60

Half Southern VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #67

Thanks for your well-wishes! n/t Scootaloo Sep 2015 #46

You are going to need all can get VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #49

That grey splot on your avatar keeps making me think my screen needs cleaning Scootaloo Sep 2015 #63

Yes....its the shit getting kicked out VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #68

Creative n/t Scootaloo Sep 2015 #69

Herp derp indeed VanillaRhapsody Aug 2015 #4

This message was self-deleted by its author 1000words Aug 2015 #6

Very low quality article once again... ram2008 Aug 2015 #14

I fully beleive... Rod Beauvex Sep 2015 #28

well Silver is no friend of Sanders.. VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #38

My point still remains. :p Rod Beauvex Sep 2015 #48

And immediately discredited. Cry Sep 2015 #61

Summary: Ice unexpectedly encountered and bulkheads failed. Ship unsinkable. Strike up the band. pa28 Aug 2015 #15

“God himself could not sink this ship.” John Poet Sep 2015 #47

Bernie supporter haters really loved that original piece. aikoaiko Aug 2015 #16

It really is a thing of beauty. morningfog Aug 2015 #18

What crow? VanillaRhapsody Sep 2015 #35

"nom nom crow babies" MoveIt Sep 2015 #58

womp womp.. frylock Aug 2015 #19

HUGE K & R !!! - Thank You !!! WillyT Aug 2015 #20

Just kickin it. morningfog Aug 2015 #21

"But *this* time, we're really right!" MannyGoldstein Sep 2015 #26

It's very weird watching people try to cash in their slips before the horses leave the gate. Scootaloo Sep 2015 #29

Well, well. Warren DeMontague Sep 2015 #43

Did you read past the title of the article? This article is not the helpful to Sanders Gothmog Sep 2015 #53

The long journey of Harry Enten's admission that he was wrong quite naturally begins with baby steps Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #54

You got to be kidding Gothmog Sep 2015 #55

Harry Enten (who has been the most bearish at 538 on Sanders) said that Sanders had plateaued; now Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #56

Again that is not my reading of the article Gothmog Sep 2015 #57

You ought to re-read “The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over” - Enten's analysis has changed. Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #62