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2016 Postmortem

thevoiceofreason

(3,440 posts)

5. And there is more

Reply to grantcart (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 11:27 AM

Aug 2012

On the Q polls just released for Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, Q used a Likely Voter model. Nate has been adding a few percent to Romney in prior polls because they used a Registered Voter model. No such skew likely for these polls.

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18 replies

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Highlight:

Nate Silver; "Ohio polls show trouble for Romney" downgrades Romney chance to 31% [View all] grantcart Aug 2012 OP

Are they factoring in the voter suppression laws? rfranklin Aug 2012 #1

Nate Silver has. grantcart Aug 2012 #4

We gotta keep the fight up... WI_DEM Aug 2012 #2

Looks like Romney's foreign tour is having an impact. Lasher Aug 2012 #3

Definitely cheezmaka Aug 2012 #16

And there is more thevoiceofreason Aug 2012 #5

AND thevoiceofreason Aug 2012 #6

Well I think just about everyone knows how this is going to end up, we just have to grantcart Aug 2012 #11

We are in the fight 33Greeper Aug 2012 #7

We have to continue cheezmaka Aug 2012 #17

I still think the GOP convention will pull out a new surprise nominee. Kablooie Aug 2012 #8

Wait until the jobs report comes out tomorrow. Hopefully it'll be good news. Liberal_Stalwart71 Aug 2012 #9

is blackwell still the attn gen of ohio? Javaman Aug 2012 #10

kick ailsagirl Aug 2012 #12

Look for his SuperPacs to bombard Ohio now Thrill Aug 2012 #13

Problem is that bombarding is not going to be effective with well defined sides grantcart Aug 2012 #15

Is Obama running ads showing Rmoney's support for Kasich's Orlandodem Aug 2012 #14

That makes sense davidpdx Aug 2012 #18