2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Finally we have a Scientific Debate Poll and it show Hillary won by a wide margin [View all]Fearless
(18,458 posts)The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and weighted by party voting characteristics.
There's always one, and so far in 2014, Gravis Marketing is in the lead for the prestigious Strategic Vision Award for Botched Polling. In Texas, its final poll of Sen. John Cornyn's primary gave him a weak 4328 lead over Rep. Steve Stockman. This was 25 points offCornyn beat Stockman, one of the laziest campaigners in recent Texas memory, by a 5919 margin. (Other anti-Cornyn candidates split the rest.)
In Kentucky, Gravis closed out with a poll that found Mitch McConnell up by 14 points48 to 34 over Matt Bevin. When I met Bevin at CPAC, he pointed out (not incorrectly) that he was burning a trail across the state, quite a contrast to Stockman. Gravis was slightly less wrong this time, as Bevin won 35 percent of the vote. But McConnell won 60 percent, for a 25-point margin that more than doubled Gravis'. The poll that gives the most hope to insurgents does so by being wildly off.
http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2014/05/21/the_worst_poll_in_america.html
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And this....
UPDATED Gravis Marketing Exposed AND Eviscerated
...Doug Kaplan runs Gravis Polling which have been giving out polls heavily weighted in Mitt Romney's favour. These polls have been included in RCP poll of polls and Nate Silver's 538.
This has helped to cause the narrative since the 1st Presidential debate to swing in Romney's direction....
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/15/1144688/-Gravis-Marketing-Exposed-AND-Eviscerated
Also you want to talk about skewed...
Highest Level of Education Completed:
POST GRAD: 36% (!?)
Some college : 31%
Bachelors: 22%
High School: 8%
Some High school: 2%
90% of those polled had some college experience or higher??