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2016 Postmortem

Capt. Obvious

(9,002 posts)

28. I enjoyed your sober analysis in this thread

Reply to developertest01 (Reply #22)

Mon Aug 20, 2012, 06:56 AM

Aug 2012

Thanks

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Why is Gallup leaning towards Romney? [View all] TroyD Aug 2012 OP

Nothing unusual brush Aug 2012 #1

No longer the Gallup of old? TroyD Aug 2012 #2

No telling. It all depends on the details of their statistical model, Jackpine Radical Aug 2012 #3

Because this polling shit is usless bigdarryl Aug 2012 #4

polling MFM008 Aug 2012 #5

Fox drags down the average of all polls? Marzupialis Aug 2012 #11

They undersample Democrats among other things. Attached is a good link, stats and article mikekohr Aug 2012 #6

David Frum TroyD Aug 2012 #7

Frum is not the only person to note Gallup's problems. mikekohr Aug 2012 #25

So do you believe they (Gallup) should re-weight their results to fit woolldog Aug 2012 #8

"Why is Gallup leaning towards Romney?" greiner3 Aug 2012 #9

A slight bump for Robme's choice of Paul "Lyan" Liberal_Stalwart71 Aug 2012 #10

A close race generates Ad $$$$, even for the polling sites. The media wants a close race JoePhilly Aug 2012 #12

Not true. former9thward Aug 2012 #31

You seem to miss the point. JoePhilly Aug 2012 #32

You seem to imply the race is not close. former9thward Aug 2012 #33

It not that close. Not at the Electoral College where it actually matters. JoePhilly Aug 2012 #34

I think it is much closer than you think. former9thward Aug 2012 #35

Gallup TroyD Aug 2012 #36

I track realclear too ... compare Obama's TREND line now with his trend line in 2008. JoePhilly Aug 2012 #37

Good point TroyD Aug 2012 #38

exactly ... he might win a poll here or there, but he can't get the overall trend to change. JoePhilly Aug 2012 #39

Because they are Likely Voters developertest01 Aug 2012 #13

Obama would win TroyD Aug 2012 #14

Not Really developertest01 Aug 2012 #17

Princeton Election Consortium (Highly accurate) has President Obama at 308 electoral votes -map- mikekohr Aug 2012 #24

Interesting developertest01 Aug 2012 #26

North Carolina TroyD Aug 2012 #27

The numbers matter! CobaltBlue Aug 2012 #30

Single sample survey - What's your vote? pinto Aug 2012 #15

I sense your concern. Warren DeMontague Aug 2012 #16

Here is Romney's VIABLE Path developertest01 Aug 2012 #18

So. . . TroyD Aug 2012 #19

My Thoughts developertest01 Aug 2012 #20

2008 Results developertest01 Aug 2012 #23

The Battle Plan on Election Night developertest01 Aug 2012 #21

Old Polls developertest01 Aug 2012 #22

I enjoyed your sober analysis in this thread Capt. Obvious Aug 2012 #28

because GOP will use early voting to their extreme advantage Sunlei Aug 2012 #29

NewsMax shows Romney too chloes1 Aug 2012 #40