2016 Postmortem

Kalidurga

(14,177 posts)

51. Yes it tells me a whole lot.

Tue Oct 27, 2015, 09:25 PM

Oct 2015

I am quite sure Hillary picked up a substantial lead. It is not 41 points however so their methodology is very flawed. I expected her to pick up between a 3-7 point bounce from the coverage of the debates. Then she had a very good couple of weeks so another bump before the first one disappears. Then Biden formally announced he is not running which is good for another point or two. So she gets a total of a 7-11 point bounce. It would be rather shocking given all that if she got no bounce or only sustained the first one.

It also tells me that those of us who support Bernie have a lot of work to do.

It tells me that Republicans are trying to nominate the craziest of the crazies and Trump just isn't crazy enough for them which is mind blowing to me, but there it is.

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Keep in mind...The same polls saying Hillary has 41 point leads... [View all] berni_mccoy Oct 2015 OP

It tells me that Clinton and Carson are leading. 72DejaVu Oct 2015 #1

Try again... berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #2

Do you have trouble believing Carson leads 72DejaVu Oct 2015 #7

What does that tell you (regarding the overall outcome)? berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #9

As a dispassionate observer I am compelled to give this round to 72Dejavu./nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #8

Wait for it... berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #10

Some of us are able to objectively weigh the evidence. It's easy if you try./nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #13

You have never been objective on any posts in GD:P berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #21

Out of 60,000 posts I must have typed in caps 0000000000000000001% of the time. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #25

Hmmm swinging your post count around berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #27

The upset person is usually the person who showers his interlocutor with emoticons./nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #32

Interlocutor... berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #35

Good point. Also, these polls also showing Clinton losing to Trump. Her support is very shallow. reformist2 Oct 2015 #3

Right. If you follow the indicators it means Clinton loses to berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #4

That makes no sense at all. 72DejaVu Oct 2015 #15

She beats Carson. bravenak Oct 2015 #30

Here is the link to both polls. Can you please point out where it shows her losing to Trump in Iowa? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #5

There are dozens of polls showing her losing to every Republican candidate. She's damaged goods. reformist2 Oct 2015 #12

Non responsive and in any case: DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #14

"The only ones who don't realize it are the Hillary loyalists!" 72DejaVu Oct 2015 #16

The vanity of a person thinking everybody thinks like he or she does is mind boggling. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #18

"Nobody goes there, it's too crowded"- Yogi Berra 72DejaVu Oct 2015 #19

That's the dumbest thing posted today I think. upaloopa Oct 2015 #56

Hillary is going to lose the Democratic Primary to Trump?... SidDithers Oct 2015 #11

Yeah, the establishment does NOT want Trump or Sanders. PatrickforO Oct 2015 #6

This would be the same Iowa that Huckabee and Santorum won dsc Oct 2015 #17

And, as we know... 72DejaVu Oct 2015 #20

I don't recall polls showing that they would beat him dsc Oct 2015 #28

LOL workinclasszero Oct 2015 #48

Now you're getting warmer than any other Hillary supporter... berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #23

I said earlier today that time will tell if these polls are right or wrong dsc Oct 2015 #33

Four events account for this stevenleser Oct 2015 #40

the poll was before item 4 dsc Oct 2015 #41

I believe those are the reasons for Hillary's awesome poll numbers today workinclasszero Oct 2015 #49

This is what I believe. Nt NCTraveler Oct 2015 #45

iowa voted for santorum last time around JI7 Oct 2015 #22

And what does that say about these polls? berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #24

I'm not sure what your point is. are you questioning itself JI7 Oct 2015 #31

I am in Iowa. It confirms that evangelical Republicans here pick the crazy Christian. emulatorloo Oct 2015 #39

Out of curiosity, why isn't Huckabee resonating? brooklynite Oct 2015 #55

I thought he would be doing better too! I have to admit I've not been paying a ton of attention emulatorloo Oct 2015 #57

I'm really starting to believe this too! How can many polls be outrageously different 2-days apart? Pauldg47 Oct 2015 #43

Polls have shown Robbins Oct 2015 #26

Lol best response! berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #29

there is no guarantee any democrat will win in the general election JI7 Oct 2015 #34

Thank you! Short and to the point! berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #37

It tells me that Carson is leading. RandySF Oct 2015 #36

Any poll not favorable to Bernie is bogus redstateblues Oct 2015 #38

Very much agreed...how can polls two days apart be a 40% swing? Is the .1% buying them out? Pauldg47 Oct 2015 #44

Exactly. And, the polls showing him the winner are Pure dead on(read internet). Cha Oct 2015 #47

Iowa Caucus: Good predictor of the party winner for the Democrats, but not necessarily the GOP. 4lbs Oct 2015 #42

It tells me Bernie backers are flailing around frantically workinclasszero Oct 2015 #46

What's next? Unskewing them? Bleacher Creature Oct 2015 #50

Yes it tells me a whole lot. Kalidurga Oct 2015 #51

Jen Palmieri (Hillary's communications director) thinks the poll is full of crap. bullwinkle428 Oct 2015 #52

I do have to question one thing, age demographics. RichVRichV Oct 2015 #53

If the GOP poll is inaccurate, who's leading? brooklynite Oct 2015 #54