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quaker bill

(8,262 posts)
7. Romney won by stacking up large margins
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 07:01 AM
Feb 2012

in the normally blue counties, most of which will go very heavily for Obama in the fall. He did win some normally red counties, but his margin was at best below his average for the state, and in most cases he lost the red to very red counties to Gingrich.

To win the State he will need strong turnout and large margins in all the Newt counties, plus some of the usual purple counties, and he will need to flip a few of the blue ones. Many of his strongholds in this primary will vote for Obama in November by margins of +20 or more. These are places every dem has won heavily for a very long time, so having his best support there means little. The winning margin for Republicans comes from huge margins and large turnouts in the Newt counties where Romney's support is most tepid.

The map suggests Romney currently would lose FL worse than McCain did.

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