2016 Postmortem

taught_me_patience

(5,477 posts)

8. if your campaign is counting on millenials

Reply to AZ Progressive (Original post)

Fri Nov 13, 2015, 07:43 PM

Nov 2015

To mobilize, its doomed to failure. Especially given that millenials prefer your opponent.

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Thom Hartmann said something important about the polling methodology today... [View all] AZ Progressive Nov 2015 OP

Dean was going to mobilize the youth in 2004. MohRokTah Nov 2015 #1

Obama mobilized the youth vote in 2008, he did not lose Bjorn Against Nov 2015 #4

No, he really didn't. MohRokTah Nov 2015 #6

The census bureau disagrees with you. Bjorn Against Nov 2015 #18

You are citing turnout in the General Election, not the primaries and caucuses. eom MohRokTah Nov 2015 #19

Well it just so happens that young voter turnout increased in the primaries as well... Bjorn Against Nov 2015 #23

Use that flyswatter! Rogue Democrat Nov 2015 #30

Not appreciably. Eom MohRokTah Nov 2015 #36

An increase from 9% to 14% is huge Bjorn Against Nov 2015 #37

No, it really isn't MohRokTah Nov 2015 #40

That was before the millennial wave AZ Progressive Nov 2015 #10

She me the stats on Millenials in the 2014 election. MohRokTah Nov 2015 #12

Thom Hartman told me that Bernie Sanders was giving out giftedgirl77 Nov 2015 #2

THREAD WIN!!!! MohRokTah Nov 2015 #14

Thank you.... giftedgirl77 Nov 2015 #29

ROFLMAO leftofcool Nov 2015 #28

"Don't trust the polls" is not a realistic position to take. (NT) PBass Nov 2015 #3

In a primary election it is a very realistic position to take Bjorn Against Nov 2015 #11

I didn't say that polls don't change. I said that not trusting polls is not realistic. (NT) PBass Nov 2015 #16

It is not realistic to trust polls in a primary election Bjorn Against Nov 2015 #17

I wouldn't trust ONE poll, but when all the polls seem to be saying the same thing, PBass Nov 2015 #21

Look at where both Obama and McCain were polling in 2007 Bjorn Against Nov 2015 #25

Would someone please inform Mr. Hartmann that different pollsters use different screens. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #5

I've been saying this all along. PatrickforO Nov 2015 #7

if your campaign is counting on millenials taught_me_patience Nov 2015 #8

Of course! yallerdawg Nov 2015 #9

lol Dem2 Nov 2015 #13

Not quite how likely voters are decided Godhumor Nov 2015 #15

Not Only That: What Harman may not have, but is also true 99th_Monkey Nov 2015 #20

Sanders Republicans? yallerdawg Nov 2015 #24

I'm glad you are amused about it. This is why Bernie will definitely be a far-stronger GR nominee 99th_Monkey Nov 2015 #27

"... his authenticity factor and rare integrity. It resonates with their humanity." yallerdawg Nov 2015 #31

Yes, some DO fall for Trump or Carson hate-based idiocy, but that's NOT who I'm talking about 99th_Monkey Nov 2015 #33

Okie dokie. yallerdawg Nov 2015 #34

I could do write-in, but will choose not to. 99th_Monkey Nov 2015 #35

Well, in that case... yallerdawg Nov 2015 #39

Iceberg polling Rosa Luxemburg Nov 2015 #22

I'm not worried about the polls, they're highly manipulated for results NorthCarolina Nov 2015 #26

Hillary's Campaign Manager: "A lot of the public polling is not very reliable" antigop Nov 2015 #32

+1. Mook's statement about polls should be written in neon letters. appalachiablue Nov 2015 #38

That statement was from June 12, 2015. yallerdawg Nov 2015 #41

Mook said that last summer I knew. His view of polls now is considerably different I'm sure. appalachiablue Nov 2015 #43

Another thing: Millenials have more skin in the game with college debt AZ Progressive Nov 2015 #42

Absolutely. That is a huge issue with millennials understandably. A candidate who appalachiablue Nov 2015 #44

What stage of political grief is "unskewing"? eom Bleacher Creature Nov 2015 #45