2016 Postmortem

demwing

(16,916 posts)

8. NOt according to Nate Silver

Sun Nov 15, 2015, 06:22 PM

Nov 2015

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=0

Instead, some of the most accurate firms were those that conducted their polls online.

The final poll conducted by Google Consumer Surveys had Mr. Obama ahead in the national popular vote by 2.3 percentage points – very close to his actual margin, which was 2.6 percentage points based on ballots counted through Saturday morning.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

58 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

WSJ Poll: Bernie Sanders Won Debate [View all] demwing Nov 2015 OP

Clearly the Wall St. Journal is "in the tank" for Bernie. Wait? What? The Wall St. Journal??? 99th_Monkey Nov 2015 #1

WSJ + Bernie? SusanCalvin Nov 2015 #2

Where is the link to the poll? MohRokTah Nov 2015 #3

Here's the link to the WSJ article: Wilms Nov 2015 #4

thanks demwing Nov 2015 #10

It's an online poll SharonClark Nov 2015 #5

Yep, you were polled to gain access to certain web sites. MohRokTah Nov 2015 #6

You're wrong about the quality of this polling. As the OP noted... kristopher Nov 2015 #39

No, I'm not MohRokTah Nov 2015 #40

Yes, you are. kristopher Nov 2015 #42

mmmm, member since yesterday. wonder who paid you litlbilly Nov 2015 #7

Not yesterday. September 26th 2015. SusanCalvin Nov 2015 #12

At 183 posts - pot meet kettle. marble falls Nov 2015 #15

Pot: Member since 2012. artislife Nov 2015 #24

Who the hell would pay for a product like that? Scootaloo Nov 2015 #19

NOt according to Nate Silver demwing Nov 2015 #8

I believe this is the same poll that had Bernie winning last time. DCBob Nov 2015 #9

There's no reason to automatically favor landline polls over internet polls. reformist2 Nov 2015 #14

The big polling firms don't use landlines exclusively. DCBob Nov 2015 #18

In favor of people who get the internet. I see. artislife Nov 2015 #25

When I'm polled by land line madokie Nov 2015 #37

Heh! nt artislife Nov 2015 #41

Depends on the poll. jeff47 Nov 2015 #48

Here's a link to the article Jarqui Nov 2015 #11

you call it an error - I call it a correction in bias /nt demwing Nov 2015 #20

Something that explains some of the discrepancies I've seen ... Jarqui Nov 2015 #23

what you saw was not a discrepancy demwing Nov 2015 #43

online polls. moobu2 Nov 2015 #13

Two words. No reasoning. So wow. reformist2 Nov 2015 #16

Cute RandySF Nov 2015 #17

Content? paleotn Nov 2015 #28

In WSJ best interest if the Socialist is the nominee. That much I am certain of, or at least randys1 Nov 2015 #51

Wow! Can't read the article behind the pay wall. Did the respondents watch the debate? hedda_foil Nov 2015 #21

Yes. Jarqui Nov 2015 #22

Bernie won the first debate also, despite the msm's delusions. Dont call me Shirley Nov 2015 #26

No. I'm sure all the donations he got immediately after the debate were pity cash. winter is coming Nov 2015 #44

... Dont call me Shirley Nov 2015 #49

When WSJ admits it, Bernie is really winning! Demeter Nov 2015 #27

of course he won marym625 Nov 2015 #29

It's nice to see it acknowledged in the MSM demwing Nov 2015 #30

Yes, it sure is! marym625 Nov 2015 #32

Gallup hasn't been a trustworthy poll in at least a decade. Jack Rabbit Nov 2015 #31

Good News - As We All Know - The Truth cantbeserious Nov 2015 #33

Thanks for some good news Cheese Sandwich Nov 2015 #34

Don't let 'em get you down! demwing Nov 2015 #50

Of course, the WSJ and the rest of the rightwing want to see Sanders win - they're terrified of... George II Nov 2015 #35

That is the exact opposite of what are the facts. zeemike Nov 2015 #36

They asked the right questions. Who can best understand jwirr Nov 2015 #38

K&R Segami Nov 2015 #45

K&R. eom Betty Karlson Nov 2015 #46

Bernie Was 100% on point. nt kristopher Nov 2015 #47

Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2015 #52

I'm honored that your first post demwing Nov 2015 #53

lol. curious. nt Snotcicles Nov 2015 #54

Hey, I'm in a good mood tonight demwing Nov 2015 #55

Hey now, don't get to carried away. Snotcicles Nov 2015 #56

Sad thing is you're right demwing Nov 2015 #57

It's hard get irritated on a day like today. Go Bernie. nt Snotcicles Nov 2015 #58