2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Poll: Clinton leads Sanders by 9 points in Iowa [View all]Jarqui
(10,125 posts)A second single digit spread poll in Iowa.
By Quinnipiac University. Nate rates them pretty well: B+
I thought some were saying Hillary had this all wrapped up Nov 4th when Hillary was +30 in Iowa.
Looks like the preordained coronation on Wall Street might be delayed.
25 percent of Likely-to-vote Dems in that poll don't think Hillary is trustworthy. (vs 4% for Bernie). Hillary supporters, that is not a good number from the people who know Hillary best.
66% think Hillary has the best chance of winning and is a key reason they're supporting her (looking past the trustworthy issue 25% have with Hillary). Sanders camp needs to bang that drum in the media because Bernie stacks up considerably better than the likely Dems are giving him credit for - in a number of cases better than Hillary in head to head polls because the Republicans and independents have a much worse perception of Hillary's trustworthiness. If they bang on that and Bernie's foreign policy positions, this race will tighten up.