2016 Postmortem

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

12. As the number of "undecided" voters shrinks ...

Fri Dec 11, 2015, 08:45 AM

Dec 2015

... the days of big-poll-swings is likely to be over. Things are settling in now, and it's unlikely that there will be any genuine "surges" or "plummets".

The poll numbers (individual polls and trends) don't look very promising for Bernie. In spite of all the aggressive optimism and gleeful comparisons to 2008, Bernie's fans see the same numbers that everyone else does, and they know full well that Bernie no longer stands a chance at winning the nomination. (An individual state here or there, perhaps, but not the nomination.)

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A reminder, if a poll shows a candidate being +2 or -1 since last month, it means nothing's changed [View all] Godhumor Dec 2015 OP

+1 ... 1StrongBlackMan Dec 2015 #1

Your +1 is within the OP margin of error Godhumor Dec 2015 #3

Here's another +1. SURGE! JaneyVee Dec 2015 #7

Everything, including this OP allows encouragement. morningfog Dec 2015 #5

Margin of error, right. Manifestor_of_Light Dec 2015 #2

Right, but they're not talking month over month Godhumor Dec 2015 #4

I really appreciate your input this election, thanks GusBob Dec 2015 #6

Sure, I can answer both questions Godhumor Dec 2015 #8

I see it in the primer thanks GusBob Dec 2015 #9

I love your OP's ismnotwasm Dec 2015 #10

Gracias Godhumor Dec 2015 #11

As the number of "undecided" voters shrinks ... NurseJackie Dec 2015 #12

This OP is mathematically false. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #13

Hmm. No I don't think I will be deleting, but I will edit Godhumor Dec 2015 #14

That's accurate. Thank you for the update. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #15

No worries. Truthfully, I didn't want to get into the grey area n/t Godhumor Dec 2015 #18

Here is what you are looking for: redgreenandblue Dec 2015 #16

Yes, aggregations are a different beast Godhumor Dec 2015 #17