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2016 Postmortem

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Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 02:16 PM Sep 2012

Polls from the Past 580 Days [View all]

I just wonder how Romney expects to win if

-He has only lead in the polls for 12 of the past 580 days

-He hasn't lead in the polls once in the past 11 months

-His highest level of support was 46.8%, which lasted for one day

-His typical level of support hovers around 43%

-His largest lead over Obama was 0.6 points, which was 12 months ago and only lasted for one day


Doesn't it seem like, if you look at the evidence, this election isn't really that close? Obama has lead 98% of the time over the past 19 months. Is this really going to come down to the wire?


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

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