2016 Postmortem

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

84. That's for damn sure

Reply to cwydro (Reply #55)

Sun Dec 20, 2015, 09:11 PM

Dec 2015

IMO

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

111 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Clintonians..... question.... [View all] Leftyforever Dec 2015 OP

No, nothing to be nervous, the most delegates from these two staes is less than 100. Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #1

Are you counting on the DNC brokering our convention? JackInGreen Dec 2015 #2

No, it will not be a brokered convention, Hillary will probably have Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #29

Are you in favor of super delegates or do you think at some point we should do away with them? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #5

I've always been in favor of their elimination. Chan790 Dec 2015 #11

There are more reasons to keep the super delegates than doing away with them. Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #33

No not really.. Over the last 10 to 15 years i have become anti-establishment... and i view the Leftyforever Dec 2015 #49

Okay Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #50

Texas has almost three times the number of delegates as Iowa and New Hampshire combined Gothmog Dec 2015 #35

I'm in favor of them. Agschmid Dec 2015 #73

Pretty much says it all. Wellstone ruled Dec 2015 #8

Hillary and MOM has pulled Sanders from the right especially on gun issues. Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #36

Sure hope we don't see a single issue Wellstone ruled Dec 2015 #57

If Bernie wins IA and NH decisively The Boss Dec 2015 #42

No IA and NH are all he can win. upaloopa Dec 2015 #3

There is some history ... when a canidate wins both Iowa and New Hampshire... a large bump can Leftyforever Dec 2015 #10

Tell that to Nate Silver Gothmog Dec 2015 #38

I think he agrees there is usually a bump... I think he doesn't see at this point Bernie making Leftyforever Dec 2015 #40

Without Latino and African American support, Super Tuesday will be a long day for Sanders in Texas Gothmog Dec 2015 #51

There is no where for Bernie to get a bump. upaloopa Dec 2015 #58

Actually, Nevada comes a week before South Carolina, at least on the Democratic side. StevieM Dec 2015 #82

I'd be nervous. The Boss Dec 2015 #44

If he won both I'd be nervous,sure. sufrommich Dec 2015 #4

ok... how confident are you hrc will win Iowa... percent chance ? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #7

I'm pretty confident,I'd say 80% confident. nt sufrommich Dec 2015 #9

ok... wondering if you have factored in that it is a Caucus state and enthusiasm of supporters Leftyforever Dec 2015 #14

I think the Clinton campaign learned a lesson about caucus states sufrommich Dec 2015 #20

Got ya... wondering what your last point is based on..that Sanders isn't as organized as Obama was Leftyforever Dec 2015 #30

Obama matched Clinton in spending in Iowa,he was leading in Iowa by sufrommich Dec 2015 #53

Hillary will lose both states, by a greater-than-expected margin The Boss Dec 2015 #46

Nope. It is going to be a long race. I really hope. Both Clinton and Bernie need to be on top of applegrove Dec 2015 #6

+1 Matariki Dec 2015 #47

No. Winning South Carolina would make me nervous. Nt hack89 Dec 2015 #12

How bout if Bernie only loses by 5% in S.C. after winning IA & NH... nervous then ? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #17

Somewhat. Very unlikely however. Nt hack89 Dec 2015 #18

Clinton is counting on SC as her firewall The Boss Dec 2015 #48

Well, aren't you the authority? BlueMTexpat Dec 2015 #69

If Bernie loses SC by 5% ?? SCantiGOP Dec 2015 #78

Not a Clintonian, but your post begs the question: OilemFirchen Dec 2015 #13

I'm already nervous Leftyforever Dec 2015 #15

Unnnn, come to think about it I might like him winning both states... I don't think Sanders ground uponit7771 Dec 2015 #16

Interesting... I disagree though... I think his ground game & outreach has been his strength.. Leftyforever Dec 2015 #19

We'll see, it sounds like he is just getting started in the south and also with delegates he's ... uponit7771 Dec 2015 #22

Yes.. the delegates are a problem..... super delegates more than the reg. delegates Leftyforever Dec 2015 #24

They get one vote at the convention. Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #41

He'll never get the south. cwydro Dec 2015 #55

That's for damn sure workinclasszero Dec 2015 #84

I would be amazed but not nervous. MoonRiver Dec 2015 #21

I assume you mean you would be amazed if he won IA.. NH wouldn't be a surprise right ? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #27

That's correct. MoonRiver Dec 2015 #67

Why? If he can convience enough ... JoePhilly Dec 2015 #23

I think I agree with your first point... Bernie needs to win both to win... Leftyforever Dec 2015 #25

Not the first 2, but the next 3 after? Sure. JaneyVee Dec 2015 #26

If Bernie won IA & NH you wouldn't be nervous as long as hrc won SC & NV ?? How bout if Bernie won Leftyforever Dec 2015 #28

IA and NH are homogeneous states whose... JaneyVee Dec 2015 #32

The Demographics of Iowas and New Hampshire are NOR the same as the rest of the democratic base Gothmog Dec 2015 #31

Do you think Obama will endorse hrc or Bernie ? Do you think hrc has the POC vote locked up ?? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #37

Sanders has a problem getting African American votes because he is not viable in general election Gothmog Dec 2015 #45

I think the state heads up vs repub polls show Bernie to be very electable... i believe even more Leftyforever Dec 2015 #52

Those polls are meaningless unless the candidate is able to run a viable campaign Gothmog Dec 2015 #63

That polling is from 2010 and 2011. Kentonio Dec 2015 #100

Neither is Clinton The Boss Dec 2015 #54

Sanders is bringing a knife to a gunfight Gothmog Dec 2015 #61

Koch has $883m spending? Really? The Boss Dec 2015 #79

The Kochs will do spend a great deal to keep a socialist from becoming POTUS Gothmog Dec 2015 #81

True that... is it me or are we slipping slowly into a fascist oligarchy ?? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #96

I have to agree... Leftyforever Dec 2015 #97

Any chance Obama would endorse him ?? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #98

I imagine the President Obama will endorse the nominee Gothmog Dec 2015 #102

You are almost definitely correct... would it be a game changer if he endorsed Bernie though?? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #106

That is not going to happen Gothmog Dec 2015 #111

If Sanders can get over 30% of African-American vote, that will be enough to take the nomination. reformist2 Dec 2015 #62

How does the math on this works? Gothmog Dec 2015 #66

any chance Obama could throw some wait behind the progressive wing of our party and endorse Bernie Leftyforever Dec 2015 #95

Nope. If Sanders can win the primaries legitimately, he has a chance. Hoyt Dec 2015 #34

No. I'm mentally prepared for her to lose Iowa and New Hampshire. Bryan Dec 2015 #39

Nice.... I can't find a lot of recent polling in NV... do you have any ? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #43

I was going off of the admittedly meager RCP average Bryan Dec 2015 #74

yeah.. they were the only ones I could find too... hope we get some new numbers soon... Leftyforever Dec 2015 #94

+1 uponit7771 Dec 2015 #56

Not at all. Lil Missy Dec 2015 #59

Right on... so no game changing bump for Bernie if he wins IA & NH Leftyforever Dec 2015 #93

Here's why you should be: Not of losing the nomination but brecause cali Dec 2015 #60

I get what you are saying but I have to fight to get Bernie elected.. he's special... plus ..I Leftyforever Dec 2015 #92

I will vote for Clinton in the primary, but we have three good candidates. Agnosticsherbet Dec 2015 #64

ok got ya.. nervous you will not be no matter which way the votes fall...understand..you are lucky Leftyforever Dec 2015 #91

We elect representatives, not glorious leaders or charismatic revolutionaries. Agnosticsherbet Dec 2015 #103

I personally don't use faith... Loyalty to proven otherwise... Leftyforever Dec 2015 #107

No. I do not think he will win Iowa, firstly. I think Clinton seabeyond Dec 2015 #65

Thanks... I still get a little emotional....cause if only George W. wouldn't have been gifted the Leftyforever Dec 2015 #90

Please do not call supporters of Hillary Clinton BlueMTexpat Dec 2015 #68

You sure have solid confident opinions... Leftyforever Dec 2015 #89

Well, it may not be disrespectful BlueMTexpat Dec 2015 #99

We will have to agree to disagree on your first paragraphs topic. As far as the rest of your reply. Leftyforever Dec 2015 #104

Cool story, namecaller. nt onehandle Dec 2015 #70

Nope ismnotwasm Dec 2015 #71

if he wins both how much does the race tighten up ? Leftyforever Dec 2015 #88

Iowa yes, NH no. Agschmid Dec 2015 #72

got ya... makes sense Leftyforever Dec 2015 #87

Why would they be nervous? Scootaloo Dec 2015 #75

Yes firebrand80 Dec 2015 #76

no dlwickham Dec 2015 #77

Yes. I'm nervous now. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #80

ok... you are the 2nd hrc supporter who thinks Bernie isn't prepared to move on after IA & NH ... Leftyforever Dec 2015 #85

Please see his National Data Director. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #101

Well... you are exaggerating just a bit here... I appreciate your loyalty and enthusiasm... first Leftyforever Dec 2015 #105

I have loyalty to no politician. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #108

No because Hillary will destroy Bernie workinclasszero Dec 2015 #83

I think the question is trying to get to the point that if Bernie wins IA & NH what sort of bump/ Leftyforever Dec 2015 #86

If I'm being honest then sure, I'd be a bit nervous. Codeine Dec 2015 #109

Thanks for the honesty... much appreciated Leftyforever Dec 2015 #110