Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
8. Yup
Sun Jan 10, 2016, 11:00 AM
Jan 2016

thing is it's likely voter.this is election where likely voter model is wrong.many of bernie's supporters don't fit likely voter model.
they are young or independent or first time voter of are republican or vote third party but switching to vote for bernie.

Bernie will win iowa and NH.and then Nevada becomes battlefield.

Clinton out of first 4 contests may only win SC.and that may end up a closer victory than people once thought.

If you saw the familys first forum Bernie had great reception from black voters there.Especilly when he called out trump for
his birther comments on Obama.

In Iowa enthusim will matter.give me some evidance that clinton has enthusim outside of MSM polls.because i can't see any.
Nevada is also a caucs so a repeat could happen.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #1
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #2
Bernie's got the momentum! sorechasm Jan 2016 #3
and this is likely voter poll Robbins Jan 2016 #6
I live in hope EdwardBernays Jan 2016 #4
And in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #5
Yup Robbins Jan 2016 #8
Hmmm... DUbeornot2be Jan 2016 #7
It's about excitement for what Bernie stands for ... earthside Jan 2016 #9
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Hillary Clinton, Bernie S...»Reply #8