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2016 Postmortem

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

3. I'd be interested to see what Nate Silver says

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Tue Sep 18, 2012, 03:08 PM

Sep 2012

This poll seems a bit on the high end for Obama compared to most of the other Virginia olls, so while it's a nice poll, we don't want to assume Virginia is in the bag when it still might be close.

Nevertheless, Virginia seems to have leaned Obama for most of the year, so that appears to be the key trend.

Btw, some of the other polls out today are a little worrying. Obama's lead in Gallup is now down to only +1. And Rasmussen and Gravis are both showing Romney in the lead in a couple of states (eg. Florida, Colorado etc.) Not sure whether those reveal a tightening of the race, or whether they are reverting to a Republican bias.

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Wow!! Obama leads Mittens by 52-44 in Virginia in Washington Post Poll [View all] WI_DEM Sep 2012 OP

I sure hope this holds up! greenymac Sep 2012 #1

Does this helpTim Kaine? n/t BlueToTheBone Sep 2012 #2

I'd be interested to see what Nate Silver says TroyD Sep 2012 #3

Yes most polls other than Ras or Gravis have shown Obama leading by a fair margin WI_DEM Sep 2012 #4

Gravis certainly seems suspect TroyD Sep 2012 #5