50 Actual Facts About Rape

[MyshkinCommaPrince]

30. Question...

I hope it is not in poor taste for me to ask a question about how some of the information is stated in the list. I find this bit confusing, which may merely mean that my math skills are worse than I thought.

Chances an incarcerated person is raped in the U.S.: 1 in 10

Increase in chance that LGTB prisoner is raped: 15x greater chance

Was the "15x greater" calculated using the same base value as the 10%? Following links, the 15x value represents a 67% chance, so it's being based on 67/15 = 4.4666667, round up to 5. The article relating to the 10% statistic says "nearly one in 10 prisoners report having been raped", so there is some rounding in the 10%, but jumping from 5 to "nearly 10" is... a big jump. The 10% times 15 would be an overall 150% chance.

Either my math is wonky or the list presents these two items in a potentially misleading manner. Can anyone check my math/reasoning, on this? I definitely don't want to derail anything or diminish the importance of the posted data. If we're trying to inform, it's probably good to seek accuracy, particularly with something as important as this. Obvious inaccuracy is easily attacked by those who might seek to discredit the topic.

Aside from that question, thank you for the information. This helps contextualize the debates we saw here, a week or two ago.