Bernie Sanders
Showing Original Post only (View all)What is your gut feeling bernie Supporters? [View all]
based on remembering 2004 and 2008 I feel Bernie Is on verge of winning In Iowa.and it could be larger win than some think.
The trend is for Bernie in final stretch just as it was for Kerry In 2004 and Obama In 2008.If you look at polls leading into iowa in 2008 obama's margain was smaller than actual vote.which was something which happened a lot In 2008 Polls In primarys underestimated Obama's numbers.
I say look at clinton.this is not a campagin which thinks it is winning In Iowa with the scorched earth campagin.
Bernie and his campagin comes off as more confident campagin.
back In 2008 Obama's crowds and support online did translate to votes.
don't forget polls show bernie is second choice of many O'Malley supporters.so if he fails to reach 15% In districts In Iowa bernie's
numbers could go up.
polls although moving in bernie's direction may still be underpolling young voters and those who are first time voters or switching to dem may not be coming up at all.