Bernie Sanders
In reply to the discussion: Does Ohio seem wrong? [View all]basselope
(2,565 posts)I went straight to them before the votes were even coming in and at first I was excited b/c it broke down the age groups into 6 groups and Bernie was ahead in 4 out of 6. (They have changed the poll now to show only 4 categories)
As I studied the numbers, I realized they were showing me a loss (I think I posted about right after reading it).
Their categories (I think) were
18-25, 25-35, 35-49, 50-65 and 65 and up.
18-25 broke HEAVILY for Bernie 85 / 15, but they were only 8 or 9%
25-29 also for Bernie 77/23, but they were only 7 or 8%
30-39 was about 55/45 for Bernie, but they were about 15%
40-49 was about 55/45 for Bernie and they were 15%
50-65 was about 65/35 for Clinton and they were 33%
65 and up was 80/20 for Clinton and they were 22%.
I did the math and turned to my wife and said... "unless this is completely wrong, Bernie is not winning Ohio"
She didn't want to accept it, but I showed her that if 55% of the voters were 50 and up and they broke from Clinton 65% and higher, there just isn't enough votes left for Bernie to make up the difference.
Not quite sure why Ohio skewed so much older than some of the states, but that is what the CNN exit poll seemed to show. Maybe it was having 167K of them on Spring Break... not sure.