True results in Oregon still not being reported

[RichVRichV]

4. This may result in a 1 delegate swing for Bernie. That would make up for what happened in Nevada.

Here are the latest reported results for Multnomah County.


There are a couple things this effects. First off Multnomah County comprises two congressional districts. Most of it makes up district 3, and the southwest corner of it is in district 1. This also effects the statewide totals.


First up the district effects. In district 1 (made up of Calstop, Columbia, Washington, Yamhill counties and southwest part of Multnomah County). This district has 9 delegates up for grabs. The counties not counting Multnomah has Bernie getting 55842 votes (54.13%) and Hillary getting 47315 (45.87%). This currently gives Bernie 5 delegates to Hillary's 4. Bernie would have to raise this district to 61.2% to gain a delegate. Even the updated results from Multnomah aren't that favorable. So nothing is likely to change here.


Next up is district 3. It is worth 11 delegates. On Tuesday night Bernie was winning Multnomah County with 57% of the vote. This gives him 6-5 delegate split with Hillary. If Bernie can get the district to 59.1% then he gains a delegate and it becomes a 7-4 split. Right now Bernie leads in the whole county with 59.05%. However that includes the part of the county that sits in district 1. So he may be higher or lower than the threshold in district 3 to pick up a delegate. He's on the verge of picking this delegate up.


Next we move to the state totals. Tuesday night had Bernie with 320,746 votes (56%) to Hillary's 251,739 votes (44.0%). When we adjust the totals for the new results coming out of Multnomah County it puts Bernie at 342,377 votes (56.7%) and Hillary at 261,518 votes (43.3%). Bernie is now up by 13.4 points state wide.


The PLEO delegates have 7 delegates. Right now it's split 4-3 for Bernie. In order to gain a delegate Bernie would have to get to 64.3% of the state vote. No chance of that happening.


The At-large delegates have 13 delegates. Right now it's split 7-6 for Bernie. In order to gain a delegate Bernie would have to get to 57.7% of the state total, which means he would have to pick up an entire point state wide. Not outside the realm of possibility, but a long shot (so far he has picked up 7/10ths of a point in 3 days of counting).