A cautionary note about the excitement over the polls showing Bernie up, way up over

[Erich Bloodaxe BSN]

12. I'll say there's a probability of some droppage.

Bernie can't keep rising and rising past 100%. At some point, he'll reach his likely levels, and then he'll just bobble around in polls, until and unless one or the other of he or Clinton makes a big enough mistake to drop precipitously. Clinton's been hiding out for just that reason - she can't make new mistakes if she's not in the public eye, not saying anything new that she hasn't said before.

But that's based on the assumption that she's winning, and she's the one bobbling along with the higher numbers. Once Bernie takes the lead, she's forced to risk more public appearances to try and win that lead back. Bernie's had to be out taking risks, because he's behind, he can't try to just coast it out.

So we've just got to hope his ceiling is higher than Clinton's, and with Bernie, we know that ceiling is more a matter of getting his positions out to the public, because the public likes them when they know them. Thanks to the near moratorium on mentioning Bernie, there are still a lot of people who know nothing about him except that he's an old guy with wild hair.