Bernie Sanders

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(56,190 posts)

54. of course he *can* win. it's just that odds are against it.

Tue May 12, 2015, 05:19 PM

May 2015

i give him about a 2% chance of getting the democratic nomination. 95% hillary, 3% someone else.

if i had my druthers, i'd love to see sanders president, or warren for that matter, but i see hillary as a very strong front-runner.

most of the circumstances enabling sanders to win the nomination involve a bitter primary fight, which doesn't bode well for the general, already likely to be a tough fight in any case. the politically best case for sanders is if hillary self-destructs or leaves the race in a non-scandalous way.

if sanders gets the nomination, i give him about a 35% chance of winning the general.

so, possible, yes.
likely, no.

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Check in if you sincerely believe that Bernie can win. [View all] totodeinhere May 2015 OP

I'm of the mind that any Democrat can win based on the issues and blm May 2015 #1

Yes, any major Democratic candidate should be able to beat whatever clown totodeinhere May 2015 #8

Excellent point! Rockyj May 2015 #134

In. A-Schwarzenegger May 2015 #2

Once people get to know him, Nite Owl May 2015 #3

The key will be exposure and getting the poll numbers up enough where the MSM will Dustlawyer May 2015 #33

Obama 17% April 2007. Sanders 15% April 2015. ieoeja May 2015 #179

Oh, THEY remember quite well... StandingInLeftField May 2015 #215

. tk2kewl May 2015 #4

He can absolutely win and this may be a bold prediction but I think with Senator Sanders we are ZM90 May 2015 #5

That would be so friggin awesome! MynameisBlarney May 2015 #201

Checked in. Ed Suspicious May 2015 #6

Of course he can. Maedhros May 2015 #7

It comes down to voter turnout. bvf May 2015 #30

Message auto-removed Name removed May 2015 #191

What do you mean? Agschmid May 2015 #193

Message auto-removed Name removed May 2015 #194

Now you've gone and chased him away. NYC_SKP May 2015 #219

Thats a big "if" dpatbrown May 2015 #100

Oh, I know. Maedhros May 2015 #108

He can win and it's up to us to make sure he does. Cleita May 2015 #9

Amen LoisB May 2015 #64

Indeed! Plucketeer May 2015 #180

Hell yes DJ13 May 2015 #10

Absolutely. truebrit71 May 2015 #11

Me, too. potone May 2015 #16

his estimate is that he needs 30 million for the whole shebang. Volaris May 2015 #68

all I can say for certain... mike_c May 2015 #12

I do. Qutzupalotl May 2015 #13

Getting past the labels we will realize that Bernie's positions on the issues are in totodeinhere May 2015 #21

Look -- Richard Fuckin' Nixon won!! He makes Chris Christie seem friendly and clean! immoderate May 2015 #14

If his message gets out, he will. mahina May 2015 #15

Checking in. Snotcicles May 2015 #17

Admiration that crosses all party lines. canoeist52 May 2015 #18

I think he can Chiquitita May 2015 #19

So much so that... dirtydickcheney May 2015 #20

. Hiraeth May 2015 #22

Sanders & Bush/Cheney Signs on VT Lawns dirtydickcheney May 2015 #23

Just like the Feingold & Bush signs I saw in WI that year. Jackpine Radical May 2015 #41

Checking in for my family Michigan-Arizona May 2015 #24

If "Hope and Change" can bring a landslide, aspirant May 2015 #25

That's a great slogan BrotherIvan May 2015 #209

Wouldn't be pulling for him if i didn't think he could Scootaloo May 2015 #26

I don't think it will be easy, but I think it's possible. Erich Bloodaxe BSN May 2015 #27

I believe he can. Hun Joro May 2015 #28

Yes, I think he can win. TDale313 May 2015 #29

Bernie can win. CharlotteVale May 2015 #31

Absolutely MissDeeds May 2015 #32

I believe I can help him win. n/t hootinholler May 2015 #34

Absa Freakin lutely! Phlem May 2015 #35

I believe he can and will. donnasgirl May 2015 #36

Absolutely! (nt) Ino May 2015 #37

Bernie can only win if something really weird happens-- Jackpine Radical May 2015 #38

I have no doubt he can win. dgibby May 2015 #39

It may be a long shot but stranger things have happened. The Velveteen Ocelot May 2015 #40

yarp frylock May 2015 #42

In it to win it! wouldsman May 2015 #43

I think he can! smokey nj May 2015 #44

Checking in! Catch2.2 May 2015 #45

Yes. madfloridian May 2015 #46

The American people are with Bernie on his positions and proposals. Enthusiast May 2015 #47

^..^ L0oniX May 2015 #48

I believe! nt Ilsa May 2015 #49

Truth to power They_Live May 2015 #50

Checking in. historylovr May 2015 #51

I am conflicted Roy Rolling May 2015 #52

Absolutely! donf May 2015 #53

of course he *can* win. it's just that odds are against it. unblock May 2015 #54

Yep... WillyT May 2015 #55

Include me in! KansDem May 2015 #56

I am a realist, but I also believe that anything is possible at this stage in the game corkhead May 2015 #57

One never knows for sure but it does seem that the tide is turning... /nt think May 2015 #58

yes he can! Dont call me Shirley May 2015 #59

Yes, he can win. fredamae May 2015 #60

Isn;t that the American Dream? Android3.14 May 2015 #61

Of course he can win. AtomicKitten May 2015 #62

The beltway types also said Reagan can't win Mnpaul May 2015 #90

Absolutely. AtomicKitten May 2015 #165

The TPP issue will propell Bernie toward the top. INdemo May 2015 #63

Of course he can win! 1monster May 2015 #65

K&R! Katashi_itto May 2015 #66

I love him. Kalidurga May 2015 #67

I do. peacebird May 2015 #69

I'm in. Delmette May 2015 #70

If we can stop TPP... Ned Flanders May 2015 #71

He can if we want it bad enough bbgrunt May 2015 #72

Of course he can. nt SusanCalvin May 2015 #73

I was around when Eugene McCarthy announced his candidacy in 1968 99th_Monkey May 2015 #74

I'm IN-------------- turbinetree May 2015 #75

I think people will Thespian2 May 2015 #76

Here nt rbnyc May 2015 #77

Win, Bernie, Win! Kip Humphrey May 2015 #78

The American people will turn on a dime Elmer S. E. Dump May 2015 #79

What Elmer said. His words ring true. BlueJazz May 2015 #81

Thanks, Blue. Elmer S. E. Dump May 2015 #83

The doubters can kiss my pretty pink tukus! gregcrawford May 2015 #80

Absolutely. NorthCarolina May 2015 #82

Curious....did any of us think that Senator With the funny name could win this far out? a kennedy May 2015 #84

Don't underestimate Senator Sanders. n/t Wilms May 2015 #85

I believe. Pastiche423 May 2015 #86

Bernie can win! PADemD May 2015 #87

yes indeed! Here! NRaleighLiberal May 2015 #88

The way his campaign started with a Bang!, you know Bernie has a lot of grass roots support. -none May 2015 #89

No to Wall Street and their greedy ways! tomsaiditagain May 2015 #91

AbsoBerniecanwinsolutely!! floriduck May 2015 #92

Checking in. geardaddy May 2015 #93

Stranger things have happened - TBF May 2015 #94

He's using the intellectual argument to steer voters his way. dirtydickcheney May 2015 #95

I Will No Longer Settle For The Lesser Of Two Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious May 2015 #96

I don't understand why the media is so single-minded about Hillary Clinton. Chemisse May 2015 #97

Bernie can and will win. Autumn May 2015 #98

Hell yes, he can win. TM99 May 2015 #99

Has to have a mountain of money, then yes. Money talks. randys1 May 2015 #101

Checking in. nt MannyGoldstein May 2015 #102

checking in tnlurker May 2015 #103

He can MsLeopard May 2015 #104

Of course he can win. He absolutely owns the issues about which voters care most. Scuba May 2015 #105

Sure.... Spitfire of ATJ May 2015 #106

Absolutely he can win. n/t MuseRider May 2015 #107

Hell, yeah, he can win, and I'm going to help him. ancianita May 2015 #109

Yes! Liberalynn May 2015 #110

yes MNBrewer May 2015 #111

K&R Fantastic Anarchist May 2015 #112

K&R n/t PeoViejo May 2015 #113

Yeppers, no doubt about it calikid May 2015 #114

Not only do I believe it... ybbor May 2015 #115

Not "can" win, "will" win DirtyHippyBastard May 2015 #116

It may depend on the sound functioning of the Repubs' machines. It looks somewhat ominous, Joe Chi Minh May 2015 #117

Three words: Barack Hussein Obama Utopian Leftist May 2015 #118

Checking in. Aldo Leopold May 2015 #119

I Already Sent Him Money & Don't Have A Lot To Squander... ChiciB1 May 2015 #120

If we make it so. riqster May 2015 #121

I Also Would Like To Add That My Whole Immediate Family ChiciB1 May 2015 #122

The momentum is there salib May 2015 #123

Yes he can win. onecaliberal May 2015 #124

If he could get press coverage that was equal to all other candidates, he would have a good patricia92243 May 2015 #125

. catrose May 2015 #126

Absolutely Iwillnevergiveup May 2015 #127

He can win. Will he win is the question. Depends on voter turnout. muntrv May 2015 #128

Absolutely!!!! baran May 2015 #129

Yes he can! SalviaBlue May 2015 #130

k&R Mbrow May 2015 #131

Yep! rurallib May 2015 #132

Yup. No doubt in my mind. nt Javaman May 2015 #133

Here. OnyxCollie May 2015 #135

Yo! Bernie! Bernie! Bernie! Bernie! nt LiberalElite May 2015 #136

We can win if we organize! Cheese Sandwich May 2015 #137

Bernie will win this madokie May 2015 #138

I don't know katsy May 2015 #139

Yes A Little Weird May 2015 #140

Hell yes.... daleanime May 2015 #141

And once people find out who he is RoccoR5955 May 2015 #142

cheaking in Howler May 2015 #143

IF young people set their alarms, and others are allowed to have their vote counted. FailureToCommunicate May 2015 #144

If EVERY Dem fights and EVERY Dem votes, Bernie Wins! n/t Triana May 2015 #145

I'm not betting the farm on it, but I think it's possible Jack Rabbit May 2015 #146

I certainly think he can win eridani May 2015 #147

HE CAN WIN rainy May 2015 #148

Yes he can! denbot May 2015 #149

Of course he can. Half-Century Man May 2015 #150

If America is ready for a Socialist President redstateblues May 2015 #151

Yes he can. nt bunnies May 2015 #152

If I could not believe it, roody May 2015 #153

I honestly believe he can take the nh primary. redruddyred May 2015 #154

Yes... and even more so if he can get the young people to turn out Wgles May 2015 #155

kick - and a kick to the others, a kick to the curb that is. edgineered May 2015 #156

The Democratic Party can elect any nominee we unite behind. n/t. Ken Burch May 2015 #157

Kick and R. BeanMusical May 2015 #158

I think he has a shot... elzenmahn May 2015 #159

Yes he can. zeemike May 2015 #160

Let me translate the key phrase ... nikto May 2015 #161

Absolutely a2liberal May 2015 #162

Senator Sanders has convinced me that he believes.... chknltl May 2015 #163

Of course he can win. That's why the corporate media tries to marginalize him. emsimon33 May 2015 #164

of course he can win bowens43 May 2015 #166

Bet your boots he can and WILL WIN! newfie11 May 2015 #167

One thing we know: Hillary can lose. grahamhgreen May 2015 #168

Here. nt LWolf May 2015 #169

i believe he can win. NuttyFluffers May 2015 #170

I'm in kacekwl May 2015 #171

Everybody Loves Bernie countryken May 2015 #172

He absolutely can win. darkangel218 May 2015 #173

Absolutely. tomg2 May 2015 #174

There is no way Bernie will win anything as long as nyabingi May 2015 #175

Message auto-removed Name removed May 2015 #198

No. In this country an independent cannot possibly win. SheilaT Jul 2015 #229

Yup! Two votes for him from this household! (nt) Autumn Colors May 2015 #176

Yes he can win. He took the first step, now it's up to us to spread the word sabrina 1 May 2015 #177

He says he's in it to win, Paka May 2015 #178

K&R! tosh May 2015 #181

I say Bernie can win! Chipper Chat May 2015 #182

I am hopeful but we do have the yuiyoshida May 2015 #183

K&R All vested in Bernie, not invested against. raouldukelives May 2015 #184

K & R mac56 May 2015 #185

Sure he can! JimDandy May 2015 #186

Damn right he can. Jester Messiah May 2015 #187

Me! - n/t fleur-de-lisa May 2015 #188

I know he can win Magleetis May 2015 #189

Message auto-removed Name removed May 2015 #190

I'm in with Bernie all the way... have donated twice already.. but will vote for the nominee in the secondwind May 2015 #192

I certainly believe he can win though for the moment rock May 2015 #195

Message auto-removed Name removed May 2015 #196

Message auto-removed Name removed May 2015 #197

Checking in aintitfunny May 2015 #199

Oh, he can win alright... lofty1 May 2015 #200

I think if he can clearly and consistently get his basic message out deutsey May 2015 #202

In TheFarseer May 2015 #203

IMHO, Bernie has a FAR better chance than at least half of the declared Republican candidates! /nt staggerleem May 2015 #204

Of course. RichVRichV May 2015 #205

I refuse to answer this question rocktivity May 2015 #206

"I think he can, I think he can, I think he can, I think he can, I think he can, I think he can" orbitalman May 2015 #207

Check and telling people I meet about Bernie every day. That is how we will win. Vincardog May 2015 #208

YesWe Can ! I find it interesting how people here tut-tut about it being 18 whole months away, libdem4life May 2015 #210

Bernie!!! d_legendary1 May 2015 #211

Yes, I think he can vive la commune May 2015 #212

I didn't at first kenfrequed May 2015 #213

Checking In... StandingInLeftField May 2015 #214

Bernie has done his homework traveling the country... polichick May 2015 #216

I do, I think we are reaching the tipping point of fed-up-to-here & we are not going to take it any mother earth May 2015 #217

Yes he can. He will appeal to a far greater number of voters than the opposition. NYC_SKP May 2015 #218

Yes, he can and I will help! eom fed-up Jul 2015 #220

hell yeah! n/t restorefreedom Jul 2015 #221

History, that's what we are living. Admiral Loinpresser Jul 2015 #222

I believe he can win the general. merrily Jul 2015 #223

For every person that says "Bernie Can't win" should be forced to vote for Bernie Man of Distinction Jul 2015 #224

Hell yeah! fbc Jul 2015 #225

There is nothing, nothing, nothing we cannot accomplish! n/t udbcrzy2 Jul 2015 #226

I think he can win but gwheezie Jul 2015 #227

I Will No Longer Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Jul 2015 #228

Me. madfloridian Jul 2015 #230

I just hope he is seriously building a national campaign already. SheilaT Jul 2015 #231

Yo. mahina Jul 2015 #232

I'm thinking that he will be better than Clinton in attracting Repubs and independents eridani Jul 2015 #233

yup n/t tazkcmo Jul 2015 #234

Present and accounted for swilton Jul 2015 #235

Me, Me, Me...I do! SoapBox Jul 2015 #236

The only thing he needs in order to win is for the people, a majority of whom agree with him, to sabrina 1 Jul 2015 #237

I am ready for Bernie artislife Jul 2015 #238

The link to the post, the link to the article artislife Jul 2015 #239

Not only can salimbag Jul 2015 #240

Absolutely! Le Taz Hot Jul 2015 #241

Si se puede azmom Jul 2015 #242

He can win. Kenjie Jul 2015 #243

If there's one thing in life I can have, it would be bernie calikid Jul 2015 #244

It is up to us to make it happen. Admiral Loinpresser Jul 2015 #245

the general? ibegurpard Jul 2015 #246

kick cui bono Jul 2015 #247

K&R jwirr Jul 2015 #248

Yes, I do MrMickeysMom Jul 2015 #249

I don't believe in much but I do believe in Bernie. R. P. McMurphy Jul 2015 #250

Yes - Bernie Can Win - I Will No Longer Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Jul 2015 #251

Absolutely! donf Jul 2015 #252

I'm not sure. tymorial Jul 2015 #253