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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

John Fante

(3,479 posts)
6. Trump doesn't need 50%, but I don't think 46% will cut it this time.
Fri May 3, 2019, 10:16 PM
May 2019

Everything would have to go just right (again) for Trump to eek out a win with that percentage. For starters isn't going to be and investigation hanging over Biden's campaign, so that's one boost Trump won't be able to rely on this time.

McCain and Romney recieved 46% and 47% of the vote... and didn't come close to winning the presidency. Unless Trump gets very popular very fast, that's the result he's looking at right now.

Even worse, 2+ years in and Trump hasn't come close to a 46% average in the polls. He has gone under 43% countless times, suggesting that 43% is closer to his ceiling than his floor. That's a horrible percentage given the state of the economy - a tree stump could get +50% approval ratings with 3.6% unemployment.


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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