Democratic Primaries

BeckyDem

(8,361 posts)

35. One thing I learned about polls in 2016, is that they're bullshit.

Mon May 6, 2019, 11:00 AM

May 2019

Trump was suppose to lose across the board.

Following what policies voters support gives a better forecast of what people want.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Who will be the 2020 Democratic nominee? Here's how the odds have changed over the last month [View all] Uncle Joe May 2019 OP

The Question Is DownriverDem May 2019 #1

Biden-Harris Ticket uawchild May 2019 #4

Why? left-of-center2012 May 2019 #2

They were all mentioned at one time and Uncle Joe May 2019 #5

yep Go Vols May 2019 #28

Post removed Post removed May 2019 #3

Time will tell uawchild May 2019 #6

Sorry you were not consoled. NYMinute May 2019 #7

Post removed Post removed May 2019 #8

... NYMinute May 2019 #12

Post removed Post removed May 2019 #14

... Uncle Joe May 2019 #15

Actually, Sanders has filed papers in Vermont to run as an independent NYMinute May 2019 #16

1. Bernie wins the nomination and G.E. governing as a Democratic President. Uncle Joe May 2019 #18

How is the Democratic Party damaged? Vermont loses the chance to have a Democratic Senator..... George II May 2019 #23

Bernie defeated a Republican for the house seat Uncle Joe May 2019 #24

You asked, I answered. Because of the way he's been manipulating the Democratic primary..... George II May 2019 #25

If they have been "deprived" why do they keep reelecting him usually by large margins? Uncle Joe May 2019 #29

In the past he has "committed" to be the Democratic candidate for Senator or Representative..... George II May 2019 #30

Your final sentence may be correct but if it isn't and Bernie does win. Uncle Joe May 2019 #32

The history. Ninsianna May 2019 #34

Come closer. I have a secret to tell you Politicub May 2019 #27

I see Oprah is up +8,000 ucrdem May 2019 #9

lol nt NYMinute May 2019 #10

Andrew Yang is given a better chance than Senator Warren? muriel_volestrangler May 2019 #11

Perhaps Yang's basic income message is taking root? n/t Uncle Joe May 2019 #13

Perhaps not: muriel_volestrangler May 2019 #21

Is or has taken root among the bettors. Uncle Joe May 2019 #22

Exactly still_one May 2019 #26

This is meaningless-- these are parimutuel bets, meaning the bets are in a pool and... TreasonousBastard May 2019 #17

How can you tell how much has been bet so far? n/t Uncle Joe May 2019 #19

You can't unless they tell you. TreasonousBastard May 2019 #20

The odds are proportional based on the amount wagered on each, after a certain % is taken out.... George II May 2019 #33

Why anyone would place bets on Michelle, Hillary, or Oprah is beyond me Prosper May 2019 #31

One thing I learned about polls in 2016, is that they're bullshit. BeckyDem May 2019 #35

except the LA Times n/t floppyboo May 2019 #37

lol +1 BeckyDem May 2019 #38

Been some movement since this article. WeekiWater May 2019 #36

Been some more movement at the top. WeekiWater May 2019 #39

More movement! WeekiWater May 2019 #40

Movement continues. Seems to be reflecting the polls. WeekiWater May 2019 #41

What link are you getting your numbers from? Uncle Joe May 2019 #42

Same one you used in your op. WeekiWater May 2019 #43

Supplying the actual link would be nice, Uncle Joe May 2019 #44

Yes, odds change regularly and your article is now older. It tells you where the odds come from. WeekiWater May 2019 #45

It would still be nice to supply the actual link to your numbers. Uncle Joe May 2019 #46

Those aren't primary odds nor are they the ones used in your op. WeekiWater May 2019 #47

Lol, saw the name, knew it must be Sanders puffery. Hortensis May 2019 #48

The odds cited in the op are turning the same direction as the polls. WeekiWater May 2019 #49

Yep; as of today: LongtimeAZDem May 2019 #50

:) No surprise. This was just silly. Hortensis May 2019 #51

Three of them aren't even running. The Velveteen Ocelot May 2019 #52

No. Their money is in place. WeekiWater May 2019 #53