Democratic Primaries

madville

(7,834 posts)

41. California has potentially weakened it's influence by going earlier with this large a field

Sun Mar 3, 2019, 06:08 AM

Mar 2019

With this large a field and the system of proportioning most delegates by Congressional district for candidates getting over 15%, it's easy to see Biden and Harris potentially coming out of CA with an even split and Sanders getting a decent chunk as well. Warren and Booker still hanging around could pull some votes away from Harris.

It will also depend who all drops out after IA, NH, SC, and NV but you are still looking at potentially 1 top-tier candidate (Sanders) and 3 mid-tier candidates from the left (Harris, Booker, Warren) splitting votes 4 four ways while Biden gets more moderate support.

Biden and Sanders are going to be well funded, they won't be going anywhere before Super Tuesday. I would just hate to see Harris get desperate and ruin any VP chances by attacking Biden in a last ditch attempt to gain traction.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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I switched back to Kamala [View all] Yosemito Mar 2019 OP

Kamala is way beyond vp material. She is presidential. CharleyDog Mar 2019 #1

Tulsi is to Sanders as Sara was to McCain. nt. allgood33 Mar 2019 #39

"She could soften the view of Bernie as attracting too many white folks." MadDAsHell Mar 2019 #2

As a proportion of his voters Yosemito Mar 2019 #5

Choose whatever preference you like Sherman A1 Mar 2019 #3

Agree. nt Quixote1818 Mar 2019 #4

Please continue to keep us apprised of your decision making process. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #6

I will Yosemito Mar 2019 #7

Do you want to handle media alerts or shall I? Hassin Bin Sober Mar 2019 #13

We should get alerts when any poster changes their preference. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #20

I'll say it again, look at the primary schedule. Sanders is essentially done after New Hampshire. Garrett78 Mar 2019 #8

Biden is pretty much going to bulldoze through Super Tuesday and it will essentially be over madville Mar 2019 #18

I think Harris will have a better Super Tuesday than any other single candidate. Garrett78 Mar 2019 #19

We'll see madville Mar 2019 #21

I'm sure that's what Clinton thought back in 2007. Garrett78 Mar 2019 #22

I predict Sanders and Biden will drop out after Super Tuesday if not before. We know Kamala in CA wasupaloopa Mar 2019 #31

California has potentially weakened it's influence by going earlier with this large a field madville Mar 2019 #41

No way in hell will Biden or Bernie get any help from CA. Mark my word. Harris is the home town wasupaloopa Mar 2019 #42

Harris has already gained traction. Garrett78 Mar 2019 #45

I like Biden - came to like him much more as Obama's VP than as a senator or candidate EffieBlack Mar 2019 #46

Well said. I agree. Garrett78 Mar 2019 #47

Is it a done deal that Gabbard will be his veep pick? Wednesdays Mar 2019 #9

Early 2016, Tulsi forsook her role as DNC vice-chair and immediately oasis Mar 2019 #35

I'm going to keep fence-sitting for awhile, except that I have a few The Velveteen Ocelot Mar 2019 #10

I highly doubt that Bernie Sanders will chose Tulsi Gabbard.. CentralMass Mar 2019 #11

+1 Power 2 the People Mar 2019 #14

Why not? Yosemito Mar 2019 #15

For the record True Dough Mar 2019 #12

Just changed to him from Brown. Am listening to Mayor Pete now on a podcast. patricia92243 Mar 2019 #34

Welcome aboard! True Dough Mar 2019 #36

I don't know how to post podcast, YouTube and such, but that would be a good patricia92243 Mar 2019 #37

Let me ease your mind. He will select Nina Turner to obviously bring those who like Hillary aboard still_one Mar 2019 #16

No that would be TINA Turner. ronnykmarshall Mar 2019 #23

perfect response!!! still_one Mar 2019 #40

Of course you can use whatever criteria works for you but you decided based on Nanjeanne Mar 2019 #17

Harris. Iggo Mar 2019 #24

I switched to decaff. It really helped Autumn Mar 2019 #25

How have I not noticed you over the past few years, Autumn? True Dough Mar 2019 #26

Hey what about Sanders/Buttigieg 2020... Perfect? Kismet. Am I right? Autumn Mar 2019 #28

I've wanted that team since the beginning. Or Sanders and Stacey Abrams. Nanjeanne Mar 2019 #43

i would like to see more talk about unions from all the candidates. Kurt V. Mar 2019 #27

I thought the same thing today blue cat Mar 2019 #29

Don't worry. Bernie will not win CA and Kamala will. Bernie will not make it past Super Tuesday wasupaloopa Mar 2019 #30

I agree except forklift Mar 2019 #32

You are drawing conclusions based on your own opinions. There is no evidence to suggest it. earthshine Mar 2019 #33

Sen. Harris will make a damn good president Devil Child Mar 2019 #38

I share your concern Gothmog Mar 2019 #44