Democratic Primaries

FBaggins

(28,774 posts)

15. You've missed the burden of proof

Wed May 22, 2019, 10:40 AM

May 2019

I suppose it's worth pointing out that a dataset that includes 33 and 46 (the matching Sanders support in those two polls is 25/14) is not "remarkably consistent" in a 24-way race. Or we could discuss that the same pollster is in there twice (Quinnipiac) and that dropped from a 27 point lead to a 19 point lead. Or we could recognize that the point of a rolling average is to mute the impact of "variations due to different pollsters and methodologies involved"

But there's no need... because it's the OP's claim that the data "proves" that his lead is real (true), as well as lasting/not deteriorating. It certainly does not do that.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

44 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Three New Polls Prove the Biden Bump is Real and Lasting -- and Republicans are Nervous [View all] Vidal May 2019 OP

There is no poll in the entire world that can prove anyone's lead is a lasting one this far out. mtnsnake May 2019 #1

But, "it's only Cha May 2019 #2

Too many people see him for who he really is comradebillyboy May 2019 #10

Exactly! And, Thank Cha May 2019 #11

I agree Vidal May 2019 #13

Biden has the President Obama's Cha May 2019 #14

Agree Vidal May 2019 #16

I feel most of the candidates privately concede Biden will be the pick. Chipper Chat May 2019 #3

I will be 88 in 2028 and would love to see Chipper Chat May 2019 #4

You say that you just looked at the RCP tracking FBaggins May 2019 #5

Biden DownriverDem May 2019 #7

That RCP graph is misleading. honest.abe May 2019 #9

You've missed the burden of proof FBaggins May 2019 #15

You've missed the numbers. honest.abe May 2019 #17

Thank you! Vidal May 2019 #18

Yes, agreed. I really dont see how anyone closes that gap. honest.abe May 2019 #19

Not at all. I may just be better at reading them FBaggins May 2019 #23

LOL.. you are trying too hard. honest.abe May 2019 #26

How about now? FBaggins Jun 2019 #33

LOL.. still trying! honest.abe Jun 2019 #34

What happened to "I am referencing Biden actual poll numbers, not his "lead" over Sanders. " FBaggins Jun 2019 #36

You do realize polling numbers fluctuate?? honest.abe Jun 2019 #38

Lol... that was the point of my initial reply FBaggins Jun 2019 #39

If you recall I wasn't defending the OP, I was challenging your claim.. honest.abe Jun 2019 #40

Then why post at all at this point? FBaggins Jun 2019 #41

Because you are wrong once again. honest.abe Jun 2019 #42

Sorry... you have a serious case of confirmation bias FBaggins Jun 2019 #43

You are trying way too hard to make a meaningless insignificant point. honest.abe Jun 2019 #44

"I may just be better at reading them" in a way which better suits your narrative. LanternWaste Jun 2019 #35

That's an odd reply... FBaggins Jun 2019 #37

I sure hope his lead holds DownriverDem May 2019 #6

Good news! Turin_C3PO May 2019 #8

Excellent point.. not drag Cha May 2019 #12

I agree witht that...we don't need people who can't win to beat up our nominee in the primary. Demsrule86 May 2019 #20

JOEmentum!! Partisan D May 2019 #21

Joe Biden is the most electable candidate that the Democratic Party has available Gothmog May 2019 #22

And, the reason is.. Cha May 2019 #28

I wonder if part of Biden's appeal is what we want to believe about ourselves. nolabear May 2019 #24

K&R Scurrilous May 2019 #25

I do love me some Joe. nt Maru Kitteh May 2019 #27

Have you seen this, Vidal? Cha May 2019 #29

But ... but .... NYMinute May 2019 #30

Wow.. I didn't even Cha May 2019 #31

No I didn't Vidal May 2019 #32