Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Joe Biden Has Been Saying 'It's Not Your Father's Republican Party' For Years [View all]MineralMan
(151,623 posts)And, as we're seeing from the polls, he's doing pretty well with his strategy, which is low-key at this point.
Biden's pretty old-school, when it comes to campaigning. He's going to go for the stable, feel-good issues that have a broad, general appeal. With poll numbers in the high thirties, and double digit leads over his closest competitors, why would he do anything else?
In a field of 24, holding that kind of lead is actually pretty remarkable this early in the campaign. He is apparently appealing to voters who are being ignored by the rest of the candidates, most of whom seem bent on attracting the leftmost bloc of voters.
Since the 15% rule is going to hurt lower-placing candidates throughout the primaries and caucuses, the battle for viability for the other 23 candidates is going to be fierce. Since any candidate who wins less than 15% of the votes in any primary district gets zero delegates at the convention, Everyone not already at that number is going to be fighting for their political life as a presidential candidate.
Meanwhile, Joe Biden just has to hold onto his double-digit lead and build on that. He already is doing well enough to add delegates to his count, starting from the very beginning. The only other candidate who polls at above 15%, really, is Bernie Sanders, and he is dipping under that number in many state polls.
If there's one thing Joe Biden knows, it's how this Democratic Party system operates. That's one of his great advantages, along, of course, with being Barack Obama's Vice President for eight years.
All of that is why his face is at the bottom of my posts this early.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden