Democratic Primaries

qazplm135

(7,654 posts)

46. no here are the most recent polls

Sun Jul 21, 2019, 05:39 PM

Jul 2019

Economist/YouGov 7/14 - 7/16 25 12 16 11 6 2 3 0 1 1 1 1 2 Biden +9
The Hill/HarrisX 7/12 - 7/13 29 16 9 11 1 3 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 Biden +13
Politico/Morning Consult 7/8 - 7/14 32 19 14 13 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 Biden +13
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 7/7 - 7/9 26 13 19 13 7 2 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 Biden +7
Economist/YouGov 7/7 - 7/9 22 12 18 15 6 1 2 1 3 1 1 0 1 Biden +4

You (and RCP) have substituted a +4 poll with a plus 15 poll despite the fact that the plus 15 poll came before the +4 poll.

So, add those five together and divide by 5, and what do you get? single digits.

Now throw in the next five polls and divide by ten.

Emerson 7/6 - 7/8 30 15 15 15 5 4 2 3 2 1 1 1 0 Biden +15
Politico/Morning Consult 7/1 - 7/7 31 19 13 14 6 3 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 Biden +12
Economist/YouGov 6/30 - 7/2 23 9 19 15 8 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 Biden +4
ABC News/Wash Post 6/28 - 7/1 30 19 12 13 4 2 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 Biden +11
Quinnipiac 6/28 - 7/1 22 13 14 20 4 1 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 Biden +2

What do you STILL get? Single digits.
What do you NOT get?
A 38 pt lead for Biden.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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7/19 NBC/SurveyMonkey poll: Biden 25%, Sanders 16%, Warren 16%, Harris 14% [View all] highplainsdem Jul 2019 OP

anyone's game among those four qazplm135 Jul 2019 #1

I hope DownriverDem Jul 2019 #5

well buckle up qazplm135 Jul 2019 #6

Not a fan of Scorched earth campaigning and character assasination between Democrats emulatorloo Jul 2019 #36

A political attack qazplm135 Jul 2019 #39

Seems like the race has stabilized for now. HerbChestnut Jul 2019 #2

KR! Cha Jul 2019 #3

State by State DownriverDem Jul 2019 #4

what a novel argument that no one has made yet qazplm135 Jul 2019 #7

+1000 bluewater Jul 2019 #8

25% in a field of 20-plus candidates is damn good. Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #13

Biden's support was at 41% on May 10th, in this poll it's at 25% bluewater Jul 2019 #14

Yup - Biden is still kicking ass. Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #17

Indeed he is!! Thekaspervote Jul 2019 #31

first, it's fallen almost in half from just a few months ago qazplm135 Jul 2019 #15

Biden's lead right now is larger, on average, than all but two of the last few primaries... Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #16

lol qazplm135 Jul 2019 #21

Trump's average lead as of today four years ago was two-points. Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #22

I listed multiple polls qazplm135 Jul 2019 #24

I listed the average. Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #25

I listed ALL of the polls from the qazplm135 Jul 2019 #32

I listed the average as of 7/19/2015 Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #35

Lol qazplm135 Jul 2019 #38

lol no it's not. Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #40

when someone goes from 40s to 20s one way qazplm135 Jul 2019 #41

You're confused. Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #42

lol most polls in the last two weeks qazplm135 Jul 2019 #43

Here are the most polls... Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #45

no here are the most recent polls qazplm135 Jul 2019 #46

You're so angry. Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #47

Post removed Post removed Jul 2019 #48

I hope you can find some compassion in your life. Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #49

Why so angry?? It doesn't help Thekaspervote Jul 2019 #30

I don't like it qazplm135 Jul 2019 #33

Please put links to your claims that Biden's lead is single digit!! Thekaspervote Jul 2019 #28

wow qazplm135 Jul 2019 #34

I think (I could be wrong) most of his 40%+ polling was from before he was even running. Agschmid Jul 2019 #44

No, the anomaly is when the early front-runner goes on to win the Democratic nomination Bradshaw3 Jul 2019 #26

Agree! And recent polls show warren and sanders supporters second choice is Biden Thekaspervote Jul 2019 #27

With the exception of the latest Quinnipiac CA poll where Harris has a narrow lead within the margin highplainsdem Jul 2019 #9

those aren't "facts" qazplm135 Jul 2019 #10

Those polls are voters' stated preferences, and they're the most important facts available at this highplainsdem Jul 2019 #12

Let's ALL celebrate Biden being at 25% support!! bluewater Jul 2019 #11

When voters begin to acquaint themselves with Biden's healthcare oasis Jul 2019 #18

That's such a harsh way to speak to a member of our community. femmedem Jul 2019 #19

K&R Scurrilous Jul 2019 #20

Makes me wonder if either BS or Warren dropped out, would their support go to the other, or... Tarheel_Dem Jul 2019 #23

As mentioned above, recent polls show warren and sanders supporters 2nd choice is Biden Thekaspervote Jul 2019 #29

Cool! Thanks. n/t Tarheel_Dem Jul 2019 #37