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Democratic Primaries

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emmaverybo

(8,148 posts)
Thu Jul 25, 2019, 12:55 PM Jul 2019

Biden's Electability Backed up by the Numbers. Better cross-over appeal than fellow Dems. [View all]

CNN) — Former Vice President Joe Biden's major selling point to Democratic primary voters is that he is in the best position to beat President Donald Trump in 2020. And while electability is difficult to measure, Biden has one thing going for him for now: the polls.

Biden continuously beats Trump by a wider margin than his Democratic opponents do.
A new Ohio Quinnipiac University poll is just the latest example of this phenomenon. Biden leads Trump by a 50% to 42% margin. Remember, Ohio wasn't close in 2016. Even if this is another example of a Midwestern poll underestimating Trump, if Biden wins the Buckeye State by merely a point, he's likely well on his way to an electoral college victory.

Of course, what I'm more interested in is the comparison between the Democratic candidates. All the non-Biden Democrats are either tied or trailing the President in Ohio.

Now if this were just one poll, Biden's electability argument wouldn't be strong. The thing is that Biden's been doing better across the board. He was the only Democrat to beat Trump in Texas. Biden also held the largest leads over Trump in Florida and Pennsylvania, both important states in the electoral college. He has also been consistently running at least 3 points better than his fellow Democrats against Trump nationally.

More:

https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/25/politics/2020-poll-ohio/index.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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