Democratic Primaries

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

26. lol

Reply to bluewater (Original post)

Fri Jul 26, 2019, 02:38 PM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Polls are unreliable a year before an election. [View all] bluewater Jul 2019 OP

It's obvious qazplm135 Jul 2019 #1

Polls are quite reliable a year before an election. wyldwolf Jul 2019 #2

Totally wrong when it comes to Democrats Bradshaw3 Jul 2019 #30

but totally true in general wyldwolf Jul 2019 #37

538 says you are wrong Bradshaw3 Jul 2019 #54

538 says I'm correct wyldwolf Jul 2019 #56

Changing the subject doesn't change the fact you were wrong Bradshaw3 Jul 2019 #68

I didn't change the subject wyldwolf Jul 2019 #69

Please follow your own advice and don't deflect Bradshaw3 Jul 2019 #71

You've written so much to have said so little wyldwolf Jul 2019 #72

Projection and personal attacks Bradshaw3 Jul 2019 #74

Again a lot of words very little substance wyldwolf Jul 2019 #75

You described your "contributions" perfectly Bradshaw3 Jul 2019 #78

oh, the Pee Wee Herman gambit. Brilliant. wyldwolf Jul 2019 #79

I have tried facts to counter your personal attacks and failure to admit you were wrong Bradshaw3 Jul 2019 #80

your interjection into a conversation that doesn't involve you does not equal facts. wyldwolf Jul 2019 #81

Exactly! It's a straw man to say polls this far out don't predict election results DrToast Jul 2019 #70

This is actually an anti-intellectual piece. SouthernProgressive Jul 2019 #3

The OP keeps hammering her belief polls are meaningless this far out... but... wyldwolf Jul 2019 #4

It's even more than that. The impact today is huge. SouthernProgressive Jul 2019 #7

Walter Mondale always led in '83-'84? crazytown Jul 2019 #27

In the year leading up the primaries, yes wyldwolf Jul 2019 #28

Mondale did Not lead Reagan in 1984. crazytown Jul 2019 #29

I didn't say he did. wyldwolf Jul 2019 #31

Quote crazytown Jul 2019 #32

Quote wyldwolf Jul 2019 #34

You were replying to an OP about the reliability of polls for the GE crazytown Jul 2019 #35

I was more replying to the OP about her constant drumbeat about polls in general wyldwolf Jul 2019 #38

Right ... got it. crazytown Jul 2019 #40

She's my #2 wyldwolf Jul 2019 #41

Like you, Harris was my #2 crazytown Jul 2019 #42

Harris crazytown Jul 2019 #43

she's not ready for primetime... wyldwolf Jul 2019 #44

70 is the new 47 crazytown Jul 2019 #48

Almost every quoted and/or referenced source is a university professor, so nope, it is very, very Celerity Jul 2019 #10

Anti-intellectual and not sources as well as you think. SouthernProgressive Jul 2019 #11

not buying it, you just do not like what the article is implying you you resort to frivolous attacks Celerity Jul 2019 #14

There is more merit in my response than in the article. SouthernProgressive Jul 2019 #18

you sound scared Celerity Jul 2019 #20

Big time. I live in fear. SouthernProgressive Jul 2019 #21

me too Celerity Jul 2019 #22

. SouthernProgressive Jul 2019 #23

I am trying to always be nice on here, at least in the end, and I am tired of all the infighting Celerity Jul 2019 #25

Agree! The op has posted several similar pieces. They usually have this spin unless it's the Thekaspervote Jul 2019 #12

tiring and obvious +100000 nt Vegas Roller Jul 2019 #66

What is the proof that those polled are not paying attention? treestar Jul 2019 #5

That question has been asked in a number of polls and the voters say they're paying attention. highplainsdem Jul 2019 #13

Head-to-head polls against an incumbent this far out are actually pretty reliable... Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #6

unreliable [ˌənrəˈlīəb(ə)l] ADJECTIVE not able to be relied upon. bluewater Jul 2019 #8

Do you know the definition of incumbent? Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #9

As in Jimmy Carter was an Incumbent? and George H. W. Bush was an incumbent? bluewater Jul 2019 #15

I spoke of Bush. Didn't gloss over him at all. Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #19

Honestly, Thank you for the discussion. bluewater Jul 2019 #24

My point stands... Drunken Irishman Jul 2019 #33

"Bush was the incumbent losing in the polls to Gore, the ultimate loser." wyldwolf Jul 2019 #39

lol nice catch! THAT needs editting! bluewater Jul 2019 #45

you said it twice. wyldwolf Jul 2019 #46

really? where is the second time? Perhaps you just misread? bluewater Jul 2019 #47

Post #15 wyldwolf Jul 2019 #49

Could you please quote what you are taking issue with in post #15 bluewater Jul 2019 #50

"And when George W. Bush (incumbent) was trailing Al Gore? But won." wyldwolf Jul 2019 #51

ok.......... so I said something different? lol bluewater Jul 2019 #52

you twice called George W. Bush the incumbent in his race with Al Gore wyldwolf Jul 2019 #53

so.... it was all really about me calling Bush an incumbent? Ok..... bluewater Jul 2019 #57

Yes. Once is a typo. Twice reveals something you obviously believed. wyldwolf Jul 2019 #58

Thanks again for bumping the thread. bluewater Jul 2019 #59

So back in 2000 when you thought Bush was the incumbent wyldwolf Jul 2019 #60

Pardon? bluewater Jul 2019 #61

This thread would not exist if... quickesst Jul 2019 #16

Yup... SidDithers Jul 2019 #17

lol Loki Liesmith Jul 2019 #26

lol R B Garr Jul 2019 #36

Recommended. And this is, in my view, a key part of the problem: guillaumeb Jul 2019 #55

The author is 100% correct. Not only are polls unreliable a year prior to an election mtnsnake Jul 2019 #62

Lol Skya Rhen Jul 2019 #63

Too bad the pollsters didn't account for Russian Active Measures.. Kahuna7 Jul 2019 #64

Translation Vegas Roller Jul 2019 #65

The polls can even be unreliable a few days before the election andym Jul 2019 #67

2016 is a bad example to use IMO. StevieM Jul 2019 #73

The more voters see if Warren, the better they like her. nt tblue37 Jul 2019 #76

In other news, water is wet. JonathanDough Jul 2019 #77