Democratic Primaries

lapfog_1

(31,558 posts)

12. sample size is too small

Fri Mar 15, 2019, 09:47 AM

Mar 2019

Presidents since 1948

Truman - Senator, VP
Eisenhower - General
Kennedy - House, Senate
Johnson - House, Senate, VP
Nixon - House, Senate, VP
Ford - House, VP (but never elected President)
Carter - Governor
Reagan - Governor
Bush - House, VP
Clinton - Governor
Bush - Governor
Obama - Senate
Trump - nothing

so 4 our of the last 13 have been Governors, 5 were VPs, 5 were previous Senators, 5 were in the House, 1 was commanding general, and 1 was nothing. In addition, 2 of the worst Presidents in history (and 2 out of the 4 worst in this list) were Governors. Nothing can really be determined about what the electorate will like can be predicted by the previously held job.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

40 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

NYT ltte: Run a governor, not a Senator, for president in 2020 [View all] CTyankee Mar 2019 OP

I'm so glad we ran Gov. Obama lapfog_1 Mar 2019 #1

good point! CTyankee Mar 2019 #2

And Gov. Bush made a great president dalton99a Mar 2019 #4

He may have gotten elected due to his past governorship of Texas but he effed up royally CTyankee Mar 2019 #6

It's not an absolute, but since Carter, governors have done better than Senators. marylandblue Mar 2019 #5

Who knows? I'm sure the author of this piece would say the the Republicans would then stand a CTyankee Mar 2019 #8

sample size is too small lapfog_1 Mar 2019 #12

Good point, but nonetheless, there is a theme since Carter marylandblue Mar 2019 #15

Reagan pushed the "Federal Government Bad" meme lapfog_1 Mar 2019 #18

For their second term, incumbent advantage usually takes over, plus marylandblue Mar 2019 #20

The key phrase is "long time." Garrett78 Mar 2019 #21

(on paper) they ran a young dynamic governor for VP in 2008 crazycatlady Mar 2019 #36

LOL. Best governor Illinois ever had still_one Mar 2019 #10

Governor Lincoln would beg to differ! - n/t lapfog_1 Mar 2019 #13

This could go on for a while I think. So much for the NY Times editorial still_one Mar 2019 #23

lol.. I forget.. was Obama Gov of Illinois Cha Mar 2019 #28

We have a great governor running, Jay Inslee could take out Trump easy. Autumn Mar 2019 #3

I think it is worth it to take another look at Inslee, which I will do. CTyankee Mar 2019 #7

Plenty of room on the bandwagon. BlueWI Mar 2019 #11

While I'm disappointed that ONCE AGAIN we have to say to women "Sorry, not your turn yet... CTyankee Mar 2019 #24

Electing a female president is extremely important. BlueWI Mar 2019 #27

I think we have to be clear: just because I want to vote for a woman for president doesn't CTyankee Mar 2019 #30

All but a few agree with that. I am hoping Gov. Inslee Hortensis Mar 2019 #33

We need to stop with any kind of conventional wisdom... doompatrol39 Mar 2019 #9

I think we can look at history, but we have to look at the right history. marylandblue Mar 2019 #17

i, for one, could not fathom why Trump won. I went to bed on that election night thinking HRC CTyankee Mar 2019 #25

What's your plan, then? Squinch Mar 2019 #31

I'm not saying I have one... doompatrol39 Mar 2019 #34

So discard experience because things change and experience might not always give us the answer. Squinch Mar 2019 #35

What are you talking about? doompatrol39 Mar 2019 #39

Inslee, Hickenlooper, Bullock brooklynite Mar 2019 #14

Look at recent history Freddie Mar 2019 #16

Inslee's a great candidate. BlueStater Mar 2019 #19

Decline in governorship numbers really damaged our bench Awsi Dooger Mar 2019 #22

Maybe this LTTE will be discussed further in the NYT over the weekend and, hopefully, here CTyankee Mar 2019 #26

I like all of our incumbent senatorial candidates Rhiannon12866 Mar 2019 #29

Would love to see a political analysis about why this is true, but it is true. McCamy Taylor Mar 2019 #32

You could also run a Vice President and be done with it. nt UniteFightBack Mar 2019 #37

I'm suprised no one has mentioned President Dukakis. CrossingTheRubicon Mar 2019 #38

Excellent point! CTyankee Mar 2019 #40