Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Beto O'Rourke's voting record is more conservative than the average Democrat's [View all]Bradshaw3
(7,964 posts)The article doesn't back up your claims. The rest is just statements like Harris "will win enough" white voters without any previous voting data whatsoever to prove that claim. As I wrote earlier, a Harris candidacy run with an emphasis on being a female POC would be trump's greatest wish and gin up his base. We simply won't win if the election plays out as a black vs. white dynamic. Obama made sure he didn't run that way. Harris running as that candidate in the primary will be believably painted that way in the general. Again in AZ, there was an unabashed liberal POC running for governor and he got creamed.
No, the election isn't about the base. It is - and will be about winning WI, MI and PA. The turnout argument doesn't work there because there was a huge emphasis on turnout in PA with the Obamas making repeated trips to urban areas and it wasn't enough. There was a huge GOTV in GA and FL in 2018 for black candidates - and they lost. People can talk about voter suppression, meddling, etc. but it doesn't change the fact there will be those factors again in 2020.
We've heard for years about young people votign or POC voting in increased numbers will usher in a new era but there is nothing to indicate that will be true in 2020. In fact, white college educated women made the difference in 2018. We can't base our choice for nominee on wishes that don't confront electoral realities in 2020. It's just too important to get him out of office and save our democracy.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden