Democratic Primaries

bluewater

(5,420 posts) Mon Aug 26, 2019, 01:55 PM Aug 2019

Biden PLUMMETS in A+ Rated Monmouth Poll [View all]

Monmouth University Poll
Poll type: Live
538 A+ Rated with 80% Accuracy

_________6/17 ---> 8/26_____

Sanders... 14% ---> 20% +6
Warren.... 15% ---> 20% +5
Biden...…. 32% ---> 19% -13 <--- THAT'S A HUGE -13 DROP!
Harris...….. 8% ---> 8%
Booker...... 2% ---> 4%
Buttigieg... 5% ---> 4%
Yang...…... 2% ---> 3%
Castro...... 0% ---> 2%
O’Rourke.. 3% ---> 2%
Gabbard... 1% ---> 1%
Klobuchar. 1% ---> 1%

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_US_082619/

Biden drops -13% in this 538 A+ rated LIVE Poll, that's stunning.
Biden's support was almost cut in half!

Sanders, Warren and Biden are now in a 3-way statistical tie in this A+ Rated LIVE Monmouth University Poll, margin of error +/- 5.7%

Disclaimer: Actually voting does not start for 5 months. No single poll's results should be overemphasized.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

89 replies

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Biden PLUMMETS in A+ Rated Monmouth Poll [View all] bluewater Aug 2019 OP

Nice way to make your own title to EMPHASIZE what you want said. nt GemDigger Aug 2019 #1

isn't it true? bluewater Aug 2019 #3

I believe the issue is that we already have a thread on this poll DrToast Aug 2019 #6

Actually, several. DrToast Aug 2019 #7

My table is a clearer presentation of how the Poll has changed. bluewater Aug 2019 #13

When I see a bluewater thread on polls True Dough Aug 2019 #28

Thanks, I try to present the actual results as clear as possible. bluewater Aug 2019 #30

Yes, True Dough Aug 2019 #33

Yes we are lucky BannonsLiver Aug 2019 #40

Being educated is a blessing True Dough Aug 2019 #49

Except it was determined that the poll was an outlier with a very small sample size Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #78

Your table is awesome, and the extra work you did to highlight exactly what happened is super Tiggeroshii Aug 2019 #45

Not at all. I just realized you prefer buzzwords like clickbait. GemDigger Aug 2019 #8

+100 Sneederbunk Aug 2019 #59

People are starting to pay attention now. mobeau69 Aug 2019 #2

I expect the polls to start bouncing around a bit now bluewater Aug 2019 #10

Really? This poll was conducted around the same time as the CNN poll which has Biden leading by 14 Skya Rhen Aug 2019 #31

i would bet cnn's peops were older, thats bidens base questionseverything Aug 2019 #48

Maybe we can get up to 10 threads on this in the next hour or so... LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #4

Yes! We need a "Castro Surges!" thread DrToast Aug 2019 #14

Kills the Biden is inevitable meme though, doesn't it? bluewater Aug 2019 #16

I'm sure if you Biden supporters can do it so can Warren's. mobeau69 Aug 2019 #15

And SHOUT in all of them question everything Aug 2019 #20

Yawn Watchfoxheadexplodes Aug 2019 #5

5.7% is a big margin of error. Nt spooky3 Aug 2019 #9

-13% is a big drop in support for Biden. OVER TWICE the margin of error. bluewater Aug 2019 #11

Yes, and that means Biden could actually be down another 5.7%. mobeau69 Aug 2019 #17

no need for speculation, Biden's -13% drop is over TWICE the margin of error already. bluewater Aug 2019 #21

Just sayin' MOE works both ways. mobeau69 Aug 2019 #25

True! bluewater Aug 2019 #26

Bernie is now the front runner!!! Joe941 Aug 2019 #12

We need Hillary to run. Only she can beat Bernie. n/t zackymilly Aug 2019 #18

I'm not impressed with Bernie. Eyeball_Kid Aug 2019 #19

I am still undecided but something I love about Bernie is his comebacks/reactions when attacked Perseus Aug 2019 #37

I agree. maddiemom Aug 2019 #62

huh? qazplm135 Aug 2019 #27

dupe gristy Aug 2019 #22

Looks like the DU poll may have just been ahead of the curve. floppyboo Aug 2019 #23

Good to see - I just made my commitment to Warren mvd Aug 2019 #24

Again, I am undecided, but I have not seen any loss of energy on Bernie Perseus Aug 2019 #41

Well, the biggest thing is the 2016 wounds mvd Aug 2019 #51

I'll vote for any of them... TrunKated Aug 2019 #29

Even Patrick Murray, Director of Monmouth Polling, admitted on CNN that his poll can be an outlier Skya Rhen Aug 2019 #34

I know the future bucolic_frolic Aug 2019 #32

After 2016 I lost my interest in polls,all polls. virgogal Aug 2019 #35

Obama nostalgia will only get you so far... Biden has to put forward something out there now JCMach1 Aug 2019 #36

Some people are having ecstatic pleasure from this poll Vegas Roller Aug 2019 #38

You may be right Perseus Aug 2019 #44

Consider that - at that point - that is an outlier! karynnj Aug 2019 #39

A sample size of 297 will make a MOE over 7% NYMinute Aug 2019 #42

Wrong. Just wrong. bluewater Aug 2019 #47

I use a combination of alpha and beta errors NYMinute Aug 2019 #67

A social statistics class could enlighten Bradshaw3 Aug 2019 #63

How so? Please enlighten us NYMinute Aug 2019 #68

WTF are you talking about? Bradshaw3 Aug 2019 #69

I was referring to your statement NYMinute Aug 2019 #72

You referred to a "Sanders Institute" Bradshaw3 Aug 2019 #81

CNN's Harry Enten's analysis of the new Monmouth Poll Princetonian Aug 2019 #43

Even Biden's AVERAGE Poll support has fallen since he announced on April 25th. bluewater Aug 2019 #50

RCP poll averages: Joe 27.3%, Bernie 16.7%, Liz 16.2% Princetonian Aug 2019 #54

Totally sucks. Our chances of beating trump also dropped Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2019 #46

Still very early days, not to worry. cwydro Aug 2019 #53

Thanks for pep talk Cwydro ! Yes, it's early. I love Warren too ! Just want to Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2019 #71

Please. Stop. blm Aug 2019 #52

You wish Hekate Aug 2019 #55

Biden Promised To Cure Cancer DrFunkenstein Aug 2019 #56

The polls are going to shift every which way leading up to the primaries Politicub Aug 2019 #57

Same here. Those who live for the polls are casting their own fates, blm Aug 2019 #76

"No single poll's results should be overemphasized." HA paulkienitz Aug 2019 #58

though biden isn't on my primary short list I never put much stock into polls, even weeks yaesu Aug 2019 #60

Biden has 6% of those polled under 50. Ace Rothstein Aug 2019 #61

Wrong. Where did you get that number? Joe is tied w/Warren at 18% for those 30-44. Princetonian Aug 2019 #64

That is specific to this poll. Ace Rothstein Aug 2019 #66

From Nate Silver re recent Monmouth poll Gothmog Aug 2019 #65

Obama/HRC pollster John Anzalone on this outlier Monmouth poll vs Morning Consult w/Biden lead highplainsdem Aug 2019 #70

That MorningConsult online poll is run at LEAST every single week. bluewater Aug 2019 #80

A whole 2 point difference? LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #82

A front runner who's polling in the 20s and dropping? bluewater Aug 2019 #87

When was the last time a non-incumbent candidate LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #88

"Polls finally matter!!! Polls finally matter!!!!" LanternWaste Aug 2019 #73

+1,000,000 Skya Rhen Aug 2019 #75

"Actually voting does not start for 5 months. No single poll's results should be overemphasized" bluewater Aug 2019 #79

Polls are subject to change but this is more realistic that most I have seen. Autumn Aug 2019 #74

I saw that, too customerserviceguy Aug 2019 #77

Here's a little dose of reality to add to this poll: George II Aug 2019 #83

This! Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #84

Nice try. Polly Hennessey Aug 2019 #85

Daily Kos Elections: We have a policy against writing up polls with sample sizes of under 300 highplainsdem Aug 2019 #86

That's a huge drop! Lordquinton Aug 2019 #89