Democratic Primaries

Thekaspervote

(35,816 posts)

18. With great conviction you have told us that the polls are the polls and you are right, they are

Wed Aug 28, 2019, 01:19 PM

Aug 2019

Saying this with kindness.... maybe you should consider your own best advice.

The old saying of “keeping one’s own counsel” it’s worthy advice for anyone

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Confirmational Bias versus the latest Mommouth Poll [View all] bluewater Aug 2019 OP

OMG! OilemFirchen Aug 2019 #1

lol An excellent example of Confirmational Bias? bluewater Aug 2019 #3

OMG! OilemFirchen Aug 2019 #6

:) Maybe it's just too much OP verbiage? Sure you're disappointed, Hortensis Aug 2019 #46

Outlier (noun): brooklynite Aug 2019 #2

They said it "appears to be an outlier." bluewater Aug 2019 #5

Do those other polls show Warren and BS with similarly high level of support? George II Aug 2019 #43

Here's what the director at Monmouth u said about their poll Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #4

To the knock down Biden folk - what an autoritative bust empedocles Aug 2019 #7

Indeed... go Joe go...we've got your back!! Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #8

Where did they admit they messed up? n/t TCJ70 Aug 2019 #22

Been Waiting for this one. The only conformational bias is coming from one poster in this thread still_one Aug 2019 #40

The statement, the last two sentences of the first paragraph are key: George II Aug 2019 #44

The director of the Monmouth poll admits its "bias confirming" result was an outlier. lapucelle Aug 2019 #51

Give it up. TwilightZone Aug 2019 #9

Whatever helps you sleep at night, my friend. LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #10

Eight polls from four different pollsters... that surprised even me. bluewater Aug 2019 #12

Those polls you listed? DrToast Aug 2019 #11

How many similar polls does it take before they might not be outliers? bluewater Aug 2019 #13

Confirmation bias indeed. DrToast Aug 2019 #14

Remarkably, OilemFirchen Aug 2019 #16

Thanks for the heads up DrToast Aug 2019 #19

Seems like confirmation bias from where I sit. bluewater Aug 2019 #17

With great conviction you have told us that the polls are the polls and you are right, they are Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #18

The polls are what the polls are. bluewater Aug 2019 #20

My point was lost Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #24

Mine too, apparently. bluewater Aug 2019 #25

But you only listed the results for only one candidate, what about all the others? Did they.... George II Aug 2019 #52

From my twitter feed Gothmog Aug 2019 #15

What do you think of Elizabeth Warren's healthcare ideas? BannonsLiver Aug 2019 #21

Check out my journal! bluewater Aug 2019 #23

So nothing off the top of your head. BannonsLiver Aug 2019 #26

Tangential discussions aren't my thing. ;) bluewater Aug 2019 #27

I actually did check it out. BannonsLiver Aug 2019 #31

Seems like you really didn't check it out closely... bluewater Aug 2019 #36

So of the 21, "only" 16 weren't related to Warren. BannonsLiver Aug 2019 #37

lol "only" if polls and the debates are not related to Warren. bluewater Aug 2019 #38

OMG! OilemFirchen Aug 2019 #41

lol bluewater Aug 2019 #42

sure but qazplm135 Aug 2019 #28

The main point was Biden dropping 13% in that poll. bluewater Aug 2019 #29

it also had qazplm135 Aug 2019 #30

This message was self-deleted by its author Chemisse Aug 2019 #32

The correct statistical term is Vegas Roller Aug 2019 #33

I agree with you, and then some. bobGandolf Aug 2019 #34

Ah, so you guys are dusting off the "anointed one" moniker again, eh? LanternWaste Aug 2019 #35

Assuming gender? bluewater Aug 2019 #49

OMG! OilemFirchen Aug 2019 #50

lol bluewater Aug 2019 #53

Can we just not bloviate over every poll? Clash City Rocker Aug 2019 #39

Curb your anxiety. As you purport to show, Biden isn't an authentic front runner, polls mean nothing emmaverybo Aug 2019 #45

This! Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #47

Excellent observation still_one Aug 2019 #48