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Democratic Primaries

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highplainsdem

(63,086 posts)
Tue Sep 3, 2019, 12:19 PM Sep 2019

9/3 IBD/TIPP Democratic Primaries poll: Biden 28%, Warren 24%, Sanders 12%, Harris 6% [View all]

https://www.investors.com/news/elizabeth-warren-joe-biden-sanders-democratic-race-biden-vs-trump/


Elizabeth Warren had the support of 24% of registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic, up from 17% in August. Joe Biden's support dipped to 28% from 30%.

Meanwhile, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders came in a distant third at 12%, unchanged from August. Support for Calif. Sen. Kamala Harris sank to 6% from 11% in August.

South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg slipped a point to 5%. New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker had the backing of 4%, up from 2% in August. No other candidate polled more than 1%. Another 15% of respondents said they were undecided.

-snip-

In the Democratic nomination matchup, Biden polled 28% support among both women and men. Warren's support rose to 27% among women, but 19% among men.

Warren led all candidates among whites, with 26% support to Biden's 24% and 14% for Sanders. That suggests early voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire, whose demographics tilt white, offer her a potential opening. Yet polling ahead of the Granite State primary has shown Warren trailing Biden and Sanders there. That could make Iowa's caucus a must win for her.

Elizabeth Warren is the favorite among self-described liberals, with 35% vs. 18% for Joe Biden and 14% for socialist Bernie Sanders. Biden dominates among self-described conservative or moderate voters who are Democrats or Democrat-leaning, with 41% and 33% of those groups.

Biden has a big edge among black and Hispanics, leading with 33% support to 19% for Elizabeth Warren and 10% for Bernie Sanders. That's consistent with Biden's big lead in polls of the key early South Carolina primary.

Support for Biden was tepid among younger voters. Sanders led among 25-44 age group, with Biden in third. But Biden's dominating lead among older voters puts him in the driver's seat for the Democratic nomination, at least for now.

-snip-





Editing to add that this is a poll of only 360 registered voters who are Democrats or lean Democratic. So a very small sample, not much bigger than the 298-voter sample of the discredited Monmouth poll last week. And these are registered voters, not likely voters, and polling so far indicated Biden does better with likely voters.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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Joe Biden is the most electable candidate that the Democratic Party has available Gothmog Sep 2019 #1
"Electable" Has Nothing to Do With Actually Winning DrFunkenstein Sep 2019 #7
Wish I could see it as simply "riding coattails..." LanternWaste Sep 2019 #11
That's pure speculation. Joe941 Sep 2019 #13
I frankly don't get the obsession virgogal Sep 2019 #2
I see it less as obsession, and more as simply data points. LanternWaste Sep 2019 #12
Go, Joe!!! Skya Rhen Sep 2019 #3
MOE of 3.3% means Warren and Biden are statistically tied nt Fiendish Thingy Sep 2019 #4
Or it could be Biden 31% Warren 21%, which would put it more in line with other polls. highplainsdem Sep 2019 #8
Given my interest is 2nd & 3rd crazytown Sep 2019 #5
BTW, I'm skeptical of this poll because it shows Warren with twice as much support as Sanders. highplainsdem Sep 2019 #6
Not sure this is an outlier in the strictest sense. It's pretty consistent with what the current LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #9
I don't think the numbers mean much in any individual poll... jcgoldie Sep 2019 #10
"Elizabeth still seems to be gaining momentum" DrToast Sep 2019 #14
Thats not what this poll says jcgoldie Sep 2019 #15
One poll vs. Polling averages DrToast Sep 2019 #16
According to aggregates of polls at RCP Warren has risen from 13.4 to 16.9 since July 1st nationally jcgoldie Sep 2019 #17
July 1st, Biden was at 27% DrToast Sep 2019 #18
you are incorrect jcgoldie Sep 2019 #19
Show me your screenshot DrToast Sep 2019 #21
okie jcgoldie Sep 2019 #22
Must be ANOTHER outlier. SteveDallas Sep 2019 #20
Joe's campaign is in good shape. Keep it up gang. oasis Sep 2019 #23
KICK! Cha Sep 2019 #24
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