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Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(63,078 posts)

6. BTW, I'm skeptical of this poll because it shows Warren with twice as much support as Sanders.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Sep 3, 2019, 12:33 PM

Sep 2019

I think it's an outlier, that their sample contained more Warren supporters and fewer Sanders supporters than a more accurate sample would have turned up. The RCP average is currently Sanders 17.1% and Warren 16.5%. Warren might be a few points ahead of Sanders, maybe 20% to 16% at most, but I don't believe she's ahead 24% t0 12%. That's as much as an outlier as the Monmouth poll, immediately dismissed as an outlier even by Monmouth, finding Warren and Sanders both at 20% and Biden at 19%.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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9/3 IBD/TIPP Democratic Primaries poll: Biden 28%, Warren 24%, Sanders 12%, Harris 6% [View all] highplainsdem Sep 2019 OP

Joe Biden is the most electable candidate that the Democratic Party has available Gothmog Sep 2019 #1

"Electable" Has Nothing to Do With Actually Winning DrFunkenstein Sep 2019 #7

Wish I could see it as simply "riding coattails..." LanternWaste Sep 2019 #11

That's pure speculation. Joe941 Sep 2019 #13

I frankly don't get the obsession virgogal Sep 2019 #2

I see it less as obsession, and more as simply data points. LanternWaste Sep 2019 #12

Go, Joe!!! Skya Rhen Sep 2019 #3

MOE of 3.3% means Warren and Biden are statistically tied nt Fiendish Thingy Sep 2019 #4

Or it could be Biden 31% Warren 21%, which would put it more in line with other polls. highplainsdem Sep 2019 #8

Given my interest is 2nd & 3rd crazytown Sep 2019 #5

BTW, I'm skeptical of this poll because it shows Warren with twice as much support as Sanders. highplainsdem Sep 2019 #6

Not sure this is an outlier in the strictest sense. It's pretty consistent with what the current LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #9

I don't think the numbers mean much in any individual poll... jcgoldie Sep 2019 #10

"Elizabeth still seems to be gaining momentum" DrToast Sep 2019 #14

Thats not what this poll says jcgoldie Sep 2019 #15

One poll vs. Polling averages DrToast Sep 2019 #16

According to aggregates of polls at RCP Warren has risen from 13.4 to 16.9 since July 1st nationally jcgoldie Sep 2019 #17

July 1st, Biden was at 27% DrToast Sep 2019 #18

you are incorrect jcgoldie Sep 2019 #19

Show me your screenshot DrToast Sep 2019 #21

okie jcgoldie Sep 2019 #22

Must be ANOTHER outlier. SteveDallas Sep 2019 #20

Joe's campaign is in good shape. Keep it up gang. oasis Sep 2019 #23

KICK! Cha Sep 2019 #24