Democratic Primaries

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)

41. With more than 4 months to go before the Iowa caucus and so few minds made up...

Tue Sep 24, 2019, 01:35 AM

Sep 2019

...it's way too early to suggest anyone will run away with the nomination.

Warren could win both Iowa and New Hampshire but fail to win enough support among Black voters to come anywhere close to being nominated. On the other hand, if she were to win both IA and NH, Biden's support in South Carolina would likely collapse. But not necessarily to Warren's benefit. Over the next 4 months, we'll more than likely see a candidate or 2 surge, while others lose support.

Once again, I want to express my disgust with the fact that we start off with 2 states that don't remotely reflect our electorate. At some point, that has got to change. Some traditions need to die.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

71 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Unless something dramatic happens, I think Elizabeth Warren is going to run away with the nomination [View all] HerbChestnut Sep 2019 OP

It's way too soon to make that assumption. The Velveteen Ocelot Sep 2019 #1

Agreed customerserviceguy Sep 2019 #5

Then DownriverDem Sep 2019 #12

I don't understand how suggesting it's too soon to conclude The Velveteen Ocelot Sep 2019 #15

wow LeftTurn3623 Sep 2019 #49

i must say, i am seeing more and more of that.... pangaia Sep 2019 #52

If you'd said Warren could throw congress to the Republicans, Hortensis Sep 2019 #58

I think you are right and I'm a hopin'...n/t monmouth4 Sep 2019 #2

When DownriverDem Sep 2019 #13

That naturally occurs after the primary. BlueWI Sep 2019 #39

maybe people that support EW are focusing on that LeftTurn3623 Sep 2019 #50

That is the way the race is currently trending ritapria Sep 2019 #3

One out of 5 Iowa caucus goers have not made up their minds question everything Sep 2019 #4

Yep DownriverDem Sep 2019 #17

Yup!! IA is not the end all it used to be! Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #20

Only two candidates won Iowa and then the White House question everything Sep 2019 #38

Could be... comradebillyboy Sep 2019 #6

I think you're right, and the numbers seem to work. Bleacher Creature Sep 2019 #7

Yup, and Morning Consult now shows the same thing. HerbChestnut Sep 2019 #8

Too soon. I'd prefer a slow, steady, solid campaign from her blm Sep 2019 #9

That's exactly what she's doing. HerbChestnut Sep 2019 #11

I know, but, I really want more candidates to connect and blm Sep 2019 #14

I'm with you! BlueMTexpat Sep 2019 #62

Something dramatic usually happens BeyondGeography Sep 2019 #10

ummmmmm ... no PhoenixDem Sep 2019 #16

I think Beto will be out before Texas votes. HerbChestnut Sep 2019 #18

The Democratic Party is mostly moderate...and we need more than Democrats to win 20. Demsrule86 Sep 2019 #22

She absolutely could win the "rust belt" as you persist in calling it. Tipperary Sep 2019 #43

I am clear about what I think so I hope you understand. We lost 16 in the rust belt...and Demsrule86 Sep 2019 #48

hmmm LeftTurn3623 Sep 2019 #54

This was what we did with moderates running. I don't see how progressives can do any worse. vsrazdem Sep 2019 #56

Again it had nothing to do with moderate or liberal...And our 2010 losses are for the same reason Demsrule86 Sep 2019 #57

Texas is part of Super Tuesday and so is California PhoenixDem Sep 2019 #30

Yup, aware of when Texas and California vote. HerbChestnut Sep 2019 #33

lol PhoenixDem Sep 2019 #36

she trails Biden by 12 and 17 points in the MC and HarrisX new polls Celerity Sep 2019 #19

It often comes down to whose supporters are most enthusiastic IronLionZion Sep 2019 #21

Hillary WON the popular vote with something like 3 million votes more than Trump. she just CTyankee Sep 2019 #23

We need to win the electoral college too IronLionZion Sep 2019 #25

Yep, we need an EC strategy. No doubt that is being worked on by our party leaders NOW... CTyankee Sep 2019 #26

I do not see any evidence that people are over their gender issues... Demsrule86 Sep 2019 #24

Trump is so bad and Warren is so good, that people should set aside their issues and vote IronLionZion Sep 2019 #45

They won't do that. Look at the GOP folks still supporting Trump because he gives them Demsrule86 Sep 2019 #47

I tend to agree with you, but. Blue_true Sep 2019 #27

Start with calling for MFA, then compromise down to a public option IronLionZion Sep 2019 #46

I think that is what she would do, get everything possible. Blue_true Sep 2019 #65

Polls don't indicate that all, sounds like wishful thinking beachbumbob Sep 2019 #28

Nope. That's all I can really say here. Joe941 Sep 2019 #29

the reported news on her campaign and on the recent polls is leading me to believe this too gristy Sep 2019 #31

Don't think so. Polls indicate she's leading with Dems who describe themselves as "very liberal" highplainsdem Sep 2019 #32

Wish I felt the same about General Election. Hoyt Sep 2019 #34

Especially if she wins, or Biden loses IA, NH, and NV Fiendish Thingy Sep 2019 #35

If she wins IA HerbChestnut Sep 2019 #40

She won't win without the support from black voters 5starlib Sep 2019 #37

With more than 4 months to go before the Iowa caucus and so few minds made up... Garrett78 Sep 2019 #41

"Unless something dramatic happens..." myohmy2 Sep 2019 #42

This message was self-deleted by its author elocs Sep 2019 #44

Let's go, Liz! zackymilly Sep 2019 #51

I think so, too. Politicub Sep 2019 #53

Doubtful but whatever Loki Liesmith Sep 2019 #55

Too early to know, but I am very happy about her surge! mvd Sep 2019 #59

Trivia nugget lambchopp59 Sep 2019 #60

Still a long way to go. And there are plenty BootinUp Sep 2019 #61

"Why Elizabeth Warren Is Trump's Weakest Opponent" Gothmog Sep 2019 #63

Horsepoo. blm Sep 2019 #64

Ditto. Tipperary Sep 2019 #70

I think you are right. Pepsidog Sep 2019 #66

How long will Warren dodge on health care and taxes? Gothmog Sep 2019 #67

I hope so. Seems a bit early to call it as confidently as you do. Nitram Sep 2019 #68

I like her and Harris about equally--I'm just glad CA Starry Messenger Sep 2019 #69

Too soon disndat Sep 2019 #71