Democratic Primaries

MineralMan

(151,532 posts)

22. It can be a nightmare to figure out.

Sun Oct 6, 2019, 11:12 AM

Oct 2019

I remember a local race here where the calculations were really, really complex. I'm not sure anyone really understands the formulas completely. It gets even more complicated when you break it down to the district level and are assigning delegates from individual districts.

I"m glad I'm not involved with any of those calculations. Really...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Fox News SOUTH CAROLINA primary poll: Biden 41%, Warren 12%, Sanders 10%, Harris & Steyer 4%, [View all] highplainsdem Oct 2019 OP

We're quoting polls from Faux News LovingA2andMI Oct 2019 #1

A-rated poll, according to FiveThirtyEight, and Fox News polls have been quoted here regularly. highplainsdem Oct 2019 #3

I was just going to post exactly that - they're rated A, and Fox News polls.... George II Oct 2019 #12

It doesn't matter where the news comes from as long as it fits my narrative, interesting isn't it? Perseus Oct 2019 #4

A-rated poll according to FiveThirtyEight.. The pollster Fox uses is headed by a Democrat and a highplainsdem Oct 2019 #9

There is no one so blind as one who refuses to see. Everyone knows that this is a gold standard Skya Rhen Oct 2019 #15

Thanks, Skya! Cha Oct 2019 #43

Yes, interesting. cwydro Oct 2019 #20

If it's an A rated poll by 538, then it's squeaky clean... that means no manipulation regardless Thekaspervote Oct 2019 #28

Examples of Republicans "pushing hard" and "campaigning" for Biden? emulatorloo Oct 2019 #35

lol! Cha Oct 2019 #41

I trust nothing that comes directly from Fox news but this poll was done by a third party pollster. honest.abe Oct 2019 #11

Methodology honest.abe Oct 2019 #21

We always have...these polls are A rated. Demsrule86 Oct 2019 #23

In other words, Biden gets 100% of the delegates, all others zero. George II Oct 2019 #2

Bingo! And how many delegates does SC send to the convention? MineralMan Oct 2019 #5

South Carolina has 54 delegates... George II Oct 2019 #10

The calculations can be very difficult, really, MineralMan Oct 2019 #14

Yes. As soon as anyone drops below 15% it changes the entire calculation dramatically. George II Oct 2019 #19

It can be a nightmare to figure out. MineralMan Oct 2019 #22

The numbers I calculate can be off by one or two in each case simply because of the district level.. George II Oct 2019 #25

Exactly. Still, a rough calculation is usually close enough, in the end. MineralMan Oct 2019 #26

Which would give Joe a nice boost into Super Tuesday. honest.abe Oct 2019 #16

Thx for the breakdown!! Always good to see them laid out so clearly Thekaspervote Oct 2019 #29

Well, according to a very reliable news outfit like Faux News, yes... Perseus Oct 2019 #7

See reply 15. The DNC accepts Fox News polls. highplainsdem Oct 2019 #17

Since it's an A rated poll by 538, it means it's very legit regardless of the publisher Thekaspervote Oct 2019 #30

So, Republicans are playing 10-dimensional chess . . . peggysue2 Oct 2019 #37

Among AAs Biden 50%, Sanders 9%, Warren 8% - somebody has a lot of work to do with this part of the Skya Rhen Oct 2019 #6

This! For those interested SC is the bellwether for the AA voting block. Keep your eye on SC and Thekaspervote Oct 2019 #31

Fox News do good polls ritapria Oct 2019 #8

I wonder if Trump will take time out from smearing Romney and Schiff and Biden to attack Fox for highplainsdem Oct 2019 #18

I have had my differences with Sen. Sanders but he is my second choice as I believe he is the only Demsrule86 Oct 2019 #24

Same here...we must win at all costs Thekaspervote Oct 2019 #32

Thank you for your honest objectivity. It's refreshing. nt UniteFightBack Oct 2019 #39

As I have said before no Democrat can win without the black vote. honest.abe Oct 2019 #13

From Nate Gothmog Oct 2019 #27

This from the mouth of one of if not the single most reliable pollster . Thekaspervote Oct 2019 #33

I have been following Nte for a very long time Gothmog Oct 2019 #34

Me too! He took a lot of heat in '16 for saying he didn't think Hillary had it "sewed up" Thekaspervote Oct 2019 #36

Biden now at 50% with Black voters in South Carolina. Gothmog Oct 2019 #38

Wow this is really impressive. I wonder if rump's baseless attacks and his obvious fear of Biden UniteFightBack Oct 2019 #40

The South belongs to Biden. n/t Tarheel_Dem Oct 2019 #42