Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: What, Exactly, Is Tulsi Gabbard Up To? [View all]Celerity
(54,448 posts)Last edited Tue Oct 15, 2019, 10:24 PM - Edit history (1)
If Warren wins the nomination, there is a really good chance Schultz steps is as an indie too, and the Libertarians might have a POOR candidate (Johnson was superb in terms of numbers) The Libertarians draw mostly from the Rethugs, and in far greater numbers overall compared to the Greens (which is often overlooked, as add the 5.2 MILLION votes Johnson and McMullin got, to Trump and he beats Clinton in the POPULAR vote as well, even if you add in ALL of the Green voters, who totalled only 1.46 million, but that does not fit some people's narrative, lol.)
Total that data/positing up, and then put Tulsi on a Green ticket, and it is BIG trouble, especially if Bernie and Warren go bonkers on each other in the primary campaign and Bernie does a tepid Warren endorsement, or worse, refuses to endorse her at all. Tulsi as a Green and Schultz as an indie alone could easily draw a combined 6, 7, 8, even 10 (or more) million votes combined (1980 John Anderson, in 2016-adjusted % numbers, would have pulled over 10 million, Perot, close to 30 million based off 1992) and if the Libertarians field a shit candidate, and the other RW 3rd party/indy candidates do meh, it is so Rump's election to lose, especially if we bollocks up the impeachment and the economy does NOT go into recession. Tulsi will pull hard (in terms of her types of voters) from us, Schultz would probably pull 75/80% from us (the Biden/Sinema-voting types), and 20/25% from Rethug Rump haters. Caveat: THAT ALL is a WORST case scenario, I am NOT saying it will happen.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden