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Democratic Primaries

TidalWave46

(2,061 posts)

1. This is funny. Truly funny. The "more sophisticated approach" has nothing to do with "bumpy".

Reply to bluewater (Original post)

Tue Oct 15, 2019, 03:41 PM

Oct 2019

The RCP Poll tracker just graphs the simple, unweighted average of the last 5 polls or so, yielding that bumpy chart that over reacts to changes in a few recent polls.

The Economist's Poll tracker takes a more sophisticated approach:

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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"No way this reflects real movement in public opinion -- too bumpy" [View all] bluewater Oct 2019 OP

This is funny. Truly funny. The "more sophisticated approach" has nothing to do with "bumpy". TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #1

Right, RCP's simplistic average results in a cruder "bumpy" chart that is less useful bluewater Oct 2019 #2

You did it again. NT TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #3

lol Taking issue with the colloquial use of the word "bumpy" bluewater Oct 2019 #4

He wrote this? TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #5

lol still going on about "bumpy", That's what Morris called it too. lol bluewater Oct 2019 #6

It's a blatant flaw in statistical analysis. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #7

Nonsense. Regression analysis is a well developed statistical tool. bluewater Oct 2019 #8

Love it. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #9

Thanks. bluewater Oct 2019 #11

You conflate things that Connor be conflated. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #13

You seem to take issue with the colloquial use of the word "bumpy" bluewater Oct 2019 #14

The ECONOMIST model shows that Warren's rise has accelerated since September... brooklynite Oct 2019 #10

But it doesn't include the HarrisX online poll of the Harris Panel bluewater Oct 2019 #12