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Democratic Primaries

bluewater

(5,420 posts)

4. lol Taking issue with the colloquial use of the word "bumpy"

Reply to TidalWave46 (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 15, 2019, 03:51 PM

Oct 2019

hey, take it up with G. Elliot Morris.

lol

And yeah, The Economist's approach using a statistical method called Bayesian dynamic Dirichlet regression to plot he best fit line thru the polling data is much more sophisticated than RCP's averaging the last 5 polls.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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"No way this reflects real movement in public opinion -- too bumpy" [View all] bluewater Oct 2019 OP

This is funny. Truly funny. The "more sophisticated approach" has nothing to do with "bumpy". TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #1

Right, RCP's simplistic average results in a cruder "bumpy" chart that is less useful bluewater Oct 2019 #2

You did it again. NT TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #3

lol Taking issue with the colloquial use of the word "bumpy" bluewater Oct 2019 #4

He wrote this? TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #5

lol still going on about "bumpy", That's what Morris called it too. lol bluewater Oct 2019 #6

It's a blatant flaw in statistical analysis. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #7

Nonsense. Regression analysis is a well developed statistical tool. bluewater Oct 2019 #8

Love it. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #9

Thanks. bluewater Oct 2019 #11

You conflate things that Connor be conflated. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #13

You seem to take issue with the colloquial use of the word "bumpy" bluewater Oct 2019 #14

The ECONOMIST model shows that Warren's rise has accelerated since September... brooklynite Oct 2019 #10

But it doesn't include the HarrisX online poll of the Harris Panel bluewater Oct 2019 #12