Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Democratic Primaries

TidalWave46

(2,061 posts)

5. He wrote this?

Reply to bluewater (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 15, 2019, 03:59 PM

Oct 2019

The RCP Poll tracker just graphs the simple, unweighted average of the last 5 polls or so, yielding that bumpy chart that over reacts to changes in a few recent polls.

The Economist's Poll tracker takes a more sophisticated approach:

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

14 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

"No way this reflects real movement in public opinion -- too bumpy" [View all] bluewater Oct 2019 OP

This is funny. Truly funny. The "more sophisticated approach" has nothing to do with "bumpy". TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #1

Right, RCP's simplistic average results in a cruder "bumpy" chart that is less useful bluewater Oct 2019 #2

You did it again. NT TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #3

lol Taking issue with the colloquial use of the word "bumpy" bluewater Oct 2019 #4

He wrote this? TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #5

lol still going on about "bumpy", That's what Morris called it too. lol bluewater Oct 2019 #6

It's a blatant flaw in statistical analysis. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #7

Nonsense. Regression analysis is a well developed statistical tool. bluewater Oct 2019 #8

Love it. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #9

Thanks. bluewater Oct 2019 #11

You conflate things that Connor be conflated. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #13

You seem to take issue with the colloquial use of the word "bumpy" bluewater Oct 2019 #14

The ECONOMIST model shows that Warren's rise has accelerated since September... brooklynite Oct 2019 #10

But it doesn't include the HarrisX online poll of the Harris Panel bluewater Oct 2019 #12