Trump v Sanders: RCP polls show him on top every time!

[Amimnoch]

38. No thanks, I'd rather stick with actual battleground state polling data.

Nice fantasy bit, but it still bases it all on national (or popular) polls. The fantasy election map has him winning state that frankly, and in reality he is not polling in nearly as well as Biden, and trails Warren.

Nevada is not impossible, it is battleground territory for Bernie, but that is likewise very optimistic that it'd be a given win.

Michigan and Wisconsin both do have a lean Bernie margin, but in both Biden polls better when matched up (as of most recent polls at least). In both those states, Bernie is points ahead, but within the margins of error, Biden is polling above the MOE.

In Ohio, both Biden and Bernie are indeed polling above the MOE. However, Whereas Bernie has gone up in the most recent poll in Ohio, Biden has been trending above the MOE over the last few polls. Just 2 polls ago, Bernie was at a -1 loss to Trump there.

I also, personally, put a LOT of stock in how Ohio polls, that is the only state in the nation that seems to continuously, over decades, vote in the direction that the outcome of the election reflects. No president has risen to office without Ohio's electoral votes since JFK.

Of course this is subject to change as time goes on, and may change a lot once the actual election season kicks off, but as of this time, I'm sticking with the one that is consistently winning the states that must be won.