Democratic Primaries

TexasTowelie

(127,402 posts)

5. I doubt that Biden expected to do well in Iowa so I understand why he wouldn't

Thu Nov 7, 2019, 08:04 AM

Nov 2019

want to commit the resources. As long as Biden takes South Carolina he can afford to wait to payday on Super Tuesday, although a top 3 finish in either Nevada or New Hampshire will help the narrative for his campaign. Biden has never been a great fundraiser so he has to be strategic as to where he spends money and Iowa isn't at the top of Biden's list. He's probably smiling as he watches the other campaigns go overboard spending for the early primaries that have few delegates.

Personally, I'm interested in who is going to benefit in Texas since Beto withdrew and it also seems likely Castro will withdraw. I'm leaning towards Biden being the beneficiary. If either Sanders or Warren falls below the 15% threshold to receive delegates then Biden could easily offset any lead that the other candidates have prior to Super Tuesday.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Morning Joe: Biden doesn't have an Iowa ground game to compete with Warren and Buttigieg [View all] brooklynite Nov 2019 OP

Sad that he didn't get troops on the ground there. dem4decades Nov 2019 #1

I doubt that Biden expected to do well in Iowa so I understand why he wouldn't TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #5

I know, but he knew New Hampshire was not going to be good to him. I hope he dem4decades Nov 2019 #11

Alternatively, he's proving yet again that he doesn't know how to build an effective campaign BeyondGeography Nov 2019 #13

It's a matter of perspective. TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #16

Reading the excerpt more closely, TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #18

I'm amused that Biden's lack of big fundraising is Hortensis Nov 2019 #22

It would appear to be a better option to me. TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #24

Gutter discourse always expands to fill the time. Hortensis Nov 2019 #28

And the proof of his ineffectiveness to build an effective campaign is... him topping every poll beastie boy Nov 2019 #33

You ignore Iowa at your risk... brooklynite Nov 2019 #46

Iowa is critical. beastie boy Nov 2019 #48

Yes, Joe has lots of experience with that, so you'd think Iowa would be easy. InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2019 #15

I don't thing DU has ever grasped that Iowa Dem Caucus goers are generally liberals/progressives emulatorloo Nov 2019 #37

I think he is deliberately ceding Iowa & New Hampshire and focusing on South Carolina & beyond. nt tblue37 Nov 2019 #53

I agree with you but not with his plan. Unless he can make a huge statement in SC. dem4decades Nov 2019 #59

Black voters in SC VOTE, and they prefer Biden. nt tblue37 Nov 2019 #60

Not just in SC. If he can get to Super Tuesday intact iit may play out for him. dem4decades Nov 2019 #61

He said a while ago he's staking it on a big push in SC Recursion Nov 2019 #2

Zero chance Joe's strategy works... guess we'll see, but Bernie & Elizabeth, together, can't lose. InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2019 #14

Why are you trying to aggregate their vote totals again? TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #19

Bernie fans will be surprised that a number of HRC supporters are for Warren now Otto Lidenbrock Nov 2019 #30

Because they know Sanders has no chance to be the nominee, and it is a weak attempt to try to attach still_one Nov 2019 #31

I Think a Ticket with Both Warren and Sanders will Lose in a Landslide n/t Indykatie Nov 2019 #42

In my view without a doubt that would be the case for Sanders. Warren I believe will move more to still_one Nov 2019 #45

No, in fact if both stay in theorectically it will be very unlikely that either wins the nomination Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #38

This message was self-deleted by its author BannonsLiver Nov 2019 #43

I understand completely. nt TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #49

JEBtm's strategy in the last cycle JCMach1 Nov 2019 #65

that would make it funny if he wins treestar Nov 2019 #3

Campaign Offices crazytown Nov 2019 #4

Thanks for the diagram. TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #7

yw. It's a NYT screen shot crazytown Nov 2019 #9

This message was self-deleted by its author BannonsLiver Nov 2019 #44

Campaign Offices - Iowa crazytown Nov 2019 #6

Better than the previous graphic TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #8

We would need an Iowan to tell us crazytown Nov 2019 #10

Agreed. TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #12

I've never been to Texas. crazytown Nov 2019 #17

I would avoid both. TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #20

It is my sense of the macabre, crazytown Nov 2019 #21

I walked through the Grassy Knoll area and by the bookstore many times. TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #23

Consider Padre Island, Austin, San Antonio... highplainsdem Nov 2019 #27

Thanks highplainsdem crazytown Nov 2019 #29

Fort Worth is fun too. Lots of good museums and things to do. emulatorloo Nov 2019 #39

Yep. Here's a list of the 5 best places to visit in Texas, with Austin, San Antonio, D-FW, Houston & highplainsdem Nov 2019 #40

Living in Houston and surroundings... mbusby Nov 2019 #54

The Eastern half of Iowa is more flippable. BlueWI Nov 2019 #32

One dot everyone has at the highway intersection is Des Moines (major population/media center) brooklynite Nov 2019 #47

Thanks for the details. TexasTowelie Nov 2019 #51

Council Bluffs, not Loveland SharonClark Nov 2019 #55

Loveland, IA 51555, USA brooklynite Nov 2019 #62

Looks like Buttigieg might have more offices than he needs in the Des Moines area, but I suppose highplainsdem Nov 2019 #25

Iowa caucuses are a rigged sham. States with real conventional style voting primaries democratisphere Nov 2019 #26

What I feel is amusing is they are using a republican to analyze how a Democratic candidate is doing still_one Nov 2019 #34

id still vote for him even if he had no ground game.. samnsara Nov 2019 #35

That is not true...I personally can attest to that....MJ is wrong. Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #36

+1000 Peacetrain Nov 2019 #57

I Think Biden is Smart Not to Invest Big Time in Iowa Indykatie Nov 2019 #41

How the firefighters union looks to use their decades of Iowa Caucus experience to put @JoeBiden o Gothmog Nov 2019 #50

Firefighters Draw On Caucus Experience To Boost Biden: emmaverybo Nov 2019 #52

Mmmm! FIREFIGHTERS FOR BIDEN!! Cha Nov 2019 #58

Morning Joe pulled this same shit on HRC back in the day. Don't fall for this. Srkdqltr Nov 2019 #56

So David Axelrod is part of an anti-Biden cabal? brooklynite Nov 2019 #66

Why boomer_wv Nov 2019 #63

JoeBiden's campaign announces 10 endorsements from elected officials across Iowa, including 6 mayors Gothmog Nov 2019 #64