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In reply to the discussion: Is this true.. that Booker said this about Hillary in the debate? [View all]Celerity
(54,560 posts)19. NYT : Many in Milwaukee Neighborhood Didn't Vote -- and Don't Regret It
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/21/us/many-in-milwaukee-neighborhood-didnt-vote-and-dont-regret-it.html
MILWAUKEE Four barbers and a firefighter were pondering their future under a Trump presidency at the Upper Cutz barbershop last week.
We got to figure this out, said Cedric Fleming, one of the barbers. We got a gangster in the chair now, he said, referring to President-elect Donald J. Trump.They admitted that they could not complain too much: Only two of them had voted. But there were no regrets. I dont feel bad, Mr. Fleming said, trimming a mustache. Milwaukee is tired. Both of them were terrible. They never do anything for us anyway.
Wisconsin, a state that Hillary Clinton had assumed she would win, historically boasts one of the nations highest rates of voter participation; this years 68.3 percent turnout was the fifth best among the 50 states. But by local standards, it was a disappointment, the lowest turnout in 16 years. And those no-shows were important. Mr. Trump won the state by just 27,000 voters.
Milwaukees lowest-income neighborhoods offer one explanation for the turnout figures. Of the citys 15 council districts, the decline in turnout from 2012 to 2016 in the five poorest was consistently much greater than the drop seen in more prosperous areas accounting for half of the overall decline in turnout citywide.
The biggest drop was here in District 15, a stretch of fading wooden homes, sandwich shops and fast-food restaurants that is 84 percent black. In this district, voter turnout declined by 19.5 percent from 2012 figures, according to Neil Albrecht, executive director of the City of Milwaukee Election Commission. It is home to some of Milwaukees poorest residents and, according to a 2016 documentary, Milwaukee 53206, has one of the nations highest per-capita incarceration rates.
At Upper Cutz, a bustling barbershop in a green-trimmed wooden house, talk of politics inevitably comes back to one man: Barack Obama. Mr. Obamas elections infused many here with a feeling of connection to national politics they had never before experienced. But their lives have not gotten appreciably better, and sourness has set in.
snip
and when we did vote there was also this occurring (especially with A-A men, of whom around 13% voted for Rump, versus only 4% of A-A women)...
Mostly black neighborhoods voted more Republican in 2016 than in 2012
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2017/09/25/mostly-black-neighborhoods-voted-more-republican-in-2016-than-in-2012/
snip
A few things jump out. First: The most heavily white neighborhoods voted much more heavily Republican in 2016 than in 2012 (the dark red line shoots up past the light-red one). Second, the most heavily black neighborhoods voted less heavily Democratic last year than four years ago. (Well come back to this, obviously.) Third, Hispanic neighborhoods voted for Republicans less than in 2012.
The net effect of those shifts can be measured by comparing the margin between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney in 2012 with the Trump-Clinton margin in each neighborhood last year. In heavily white neighborhoods, a big shift to the Republicans. In mostly Hispanic neighborhoods, generally more support for the Democrat, except in the most dense places (although, as the chart on the right makes clear, the sample size for those is very small and therefore more subject to volatility).
MILWAUKEE Four barbers and a firefighter were pondering their future under a Trump presidency at the Upper Cutz barbershop last week.
We got to figure this out, said Cedric Fleming, one of the barbers. We got a gangster in the chair now, he said, referring to President-elect Donald J. Trump.They admitted that they could not complain too much: Only two of them had voted. But there were no regrets. I dont feel bad, Mr. Fleming said, trimming a mustache. Milwaukee is tired. Both of them were terrible. They never do anything for us anyway.
Wisconsin, a state that Hillary Clinton had assumed she would win, historically boasts one of the nations highest rates of voter participation; this years 68.3 percent turnout was the fifth best among the 50 states. But by local standards, it was a disappointment, the lowest turnout in 16 years. And those no-shows were important. Mr. Trump won the state by just 27,000 voters.
Milwaukees lowest-income neighborhoods offer one explanation for the turnout figures. Of the citys 15 council districts, the decline in turnout from 2012 to 2016 in the five poorest was consistently much greater than the drop seen in more prosperous areas accounting for half of the overall decline in turnout citywide.
The biggest drop was here in District 15, a stretch of fading wooden homes, sandwich shops and fast-food restaurants that is 84 percent black. In this district, voter turnout declined by 19.5 percent from 2012 figures, according to Neil Albrecht, executive director of the City of Milwaukee Election Commission. It is home to some of Milwaukees poorest residents and, according to a 2016 documentary, Milwaukee 53206, has one of the nations highest per-capita incarceration rates.
At Upper Cutz, a bustling barbershop in a green-trimmed wooden house, talk of politics inevitably comes back to one man: Barack Obama. Mr. Obamas elections infused many here with a feeling of connection to national politics they had never before experienced. But their lives have not gotten appreciably better, and sourness has set in.
snip
and when we did vote there was also this occurring (especially with A-A men, of whom around 13% voted for Rump, versus only 4% of A-A women)...
Mostly black neighborhoods voted more Republican in 2016 than in 2012
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2017/09/25/mostly-black-neighborhoods-voted-more-republican-in-2016-than-in-2012/
snip
A few things jump out. First: The most heavily white neighborhoods voted much more heavily Republican in 2016 than in 2012 (the dark red line shoots up past the light-red one). Second, the most heavily black neighborhoods voted less heavily Democratic last year than four years ago. (Well come back to this, obviously.) Third, Hispanic neighborhoods voted for Republicans less than in 2012.
The net effect of those shifts can be measured by comparing the margin between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney in 2012 with the Trump-Clinton margin in each neighborhood last year. In heavily white neighborhoods, a big shift to the Republicans. In mostly Hispanic neighborhoods, generally more support for the Democrat, except in the most dense places (although, as the chart on the right makes clear, the sample size for those is very small and therefore more subject to volatility).
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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I think that's a fair analysis; no question Elizabeth would have trounced tRumpty Dumbty had she run
InAbLuEsTaTe
Nov 2019
#33
We ran the candidate who won the nomination because she dominated her opponents in the primary
StevieM
Nov 2019
#10
Apparently her storytelling was powerful enough that she dominated her opponents in the primary.
StevieM
Nov 2019
#14
There are a lot of reasons HRC lost that had nothing to do with her. I think HRC ran one of the
Jewls2
Nov 2019
#11
Because for Booker, the bigger conversation was showing the difference between himself and Biden
Jewls2
Nov 2019
#29