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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

betsuni

(29,108 posts)
24. "According to an analyses of voter turnout data by the political scientist Bernard Fraga
Thu Nov 21, 2019, 06:51 PM
Nov 2019

and colleagues, black turnout declined by 5 points nationally and even more in certain swing states. Black turnout decreased by over 12 percentage points in Michigan and Wisconsin, for example. Many, including Clinton herself, attributed this voter decrease to strict voter identification laws. ... A more important explanation for the drop in African American turnout had to do with Obama and Clinton themselves. When Obama ran in 2008 and 2012, black turnout was over 5 percentage points higher than it had been in any election on record. Obama's two campaigns confirmed research showing that African Americans' in-group identity -- their identification with blacks as a group -- impacts how they think and act in politics. Indeed, Barack Obama's extraordinary black support was concentrated among African Americans who expressed the most solidarity with other blacks. It was arguably unrealistic to expect similar levels of black turnout for a white Democratic candidate in 2016. That does not mean that Clinton was unpopular among African Americans. They were crucial to her victory in the Democratic primary, and through 2016, an average of 73 percent rated her favorably in both Gallup and YouGov polls."

Then there was the targeted propaganda accusing Clinton of racism. "Some black celebrities and public intellectuals even refused to vote for Clinton, whom they considered the lesser of two evils. ... The Trump campaign sought to capitalize on this controversy by repeatedly calling Clinton 'a bigot,' reminding black voters that Clinton had once implied that black youths were 'super predators,' claiming that Democratic politicians had let down the African American community, and accusing Clinton of treating Barack Obama with 'terrible disrespect' in their 2008 presidential debates. This was all in addition to falsely accusing Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign of starting the lie that Obama was not born in the United States."

From "Identity Crisis, The 2016 Presidential Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America"

Our next nominee will also be accused of racism with the goal of depressing the black vote. Kamala Harris already has a whole list of conspiracy theories about how she wants black people in jail.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Dunno, but both can be true zaj Nov 2019 #1
I don't think so.. There was voter suppression Cha Nov 2019 #2
Democrats tend to nominate smart, wonky experts... zaj Nov 2019 #7
I think that's a fair analysis; no question Elizabeth would have trounced tRumpty Dumbty had she run InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2019 #33
We ran the candidate who won the nomination because she dominated her opponents in the primary StevieM Nov 2019 #10
No, but we have a lot of evidence that powerful storytelling matters zaj Nov 2019 #12
Apparently her storytelling was powerful enough that she dominated her opponents in the primary. StevieM Nov 2019 #14
I think that is a valid point. "other than President Obama". Jewls2 Nov 2019 #13
Shhh...it's a secret. StevieM Nov 2019 #16
Oh, with just about everything HRC. For sure. Jewls2 Nov 2019 #17
I got the impression he was saying the black vote was down in Wisc. Jewls2 Nov 2019 #3
That's not the way most are Cha Nov 2019 #5
During this campaign we have seen an alignment with Biden/Obama/HRC. Jewls2 Nov 2019 #9
We lost the election because the Russian interfered on several dewsgirl Nov 2019 #4
Yes, there are many documented facts of Cha Nov 2019 #6
NYT : Many in Milwaukee Neighborhood Didn't Vote -- and Don't Regret It Celerity Nov 2019 #19
It scares me that people don't understand how significant James Comey was. StevieM Nov 2019 #8
There are a lot of reasons HRC lost that had nothing to do with her. I think HRC ran one of the Jewls2 Nov 2019 #11
Excellent post. StevieM Nov 2019 #18
Yep. I agree. Jewls2 Nov 2019 #28
And the total black population in Wisconsin is 370,375. TidalWave46 Nov 2019 #15
Why are so many of OUR candidates obsessed with Hillary Clinton? George II Nov 2019 #20
Why couldn't Booker talk about the Voter Suppression in Cha Nov 2019 #27
Because for Booker, the bigger conversation was showing the difference between himself and Biden Jewls2 Nov 2019 #29
Oh yeah.. "..Booker is allowed.. " of course. He Cha Nov 2019 #31
That is not what he said. I do not think he looked petty, but argued a point. Jewls2 Nov 2019 #32
That's the quote in the OP.. and that is petty.. and not true.. Cha Nov 2019 #35
Whatever else happened, there were BlueMTexpat Nov 2019 #21
Exactly, BlueMT! I just posted about Stein's LIES in Wisconsin Cha Nov 2019 #30
The GOP BlueMTexpat Nov 2019 #36
what motivation did they need Skittles Nov 2019 #22
Lots of research shows this is so. zentrum Nov 2019 #23
Very true... no reason to pretend otherwise. InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2019 #34
yeah, with all the brainwashed hate thrown at her 24/7 from Cha Nov 2019 #38
"According to an analyses of voter turnout data by the political scientist Bernard Fraga betsuni Nov 2019 #24
Thanks for that, Cha Nov 2019 #37
Is that how Scott Walker became Gov in 2011? The Dem just did not energize delisen Nov 2019 #25
I really doubt that Booker will make the next debate Gothmog Nov 2019 #26
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